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Posts by "catnip"

2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
2 Posts by member
catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 9:53
In Thread: EUR
I still agree with almost all fundamentally oriented economists that ECB economically cannot hike. rather a hike were dangerous if not desastrous because there is a big difference between US debt and EZone debt. Most of Ezone debt is amassed in portfolio of Ezone banks. Apparently Eur bulls fail to understand this. It is like arsoninists and firefighters are identical.
And besides hiking rate does not bring for ex. oil price down not even a cent. These are subject to mutually independent market variables.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 8:16
In Thread: EUR
One scenario must be added. That is if the Lybia ME stuff recedes in one way or the other crude
could drop sharply and ECB, who cannot hike anyway, postpones the rate decision only emphasizing we are vigilant. Whenever I hear bullish comments from GS JPM MS on oil gold silver I start short positions. Btw. I do still wonder why the large proven oil reserves of Iraq remain widely untapped?
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 20:02
In Thread: USD
The usual FED dissidents turn more hawkish. Plosser mused to vote for abrupt end of asset buying so said Fisher and Evans , also a voting member thinks the FED has completed the mission.
Is now a race on for tightening and only ECB could hike but keeps the money tank gates wide open to covertly nourish capital strapped Ezone miracle banks?
Dr. Ben clever man. Mr. Trichet not so clever man.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 19:08
In Thread: EUR
EUR relative strength constant USD gains. EURUSD below 1395 unlikely. Only if USDX regains 77
EURUSD will fall below 139.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 18:25
In Thread: EUR
at least my nick gains popularity...
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 18:21
In Thread: GBP
QE is quantitative easing i.e. the FED "buys" US treasuries in order to keep the US govt afloat
insofar QE2 is a credit easing facility. It is so far limited to USD 600 bln of bonds buying.
catnip
frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 18:17
In Thread: EUR
ashraf i always respect you i will continue but there some idiots one these form that dont value all what i have been doing so let them go to hell
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 17:45
The bullish talk oil 220 reminds me vividly of one of my biggest profits. GS touted 200 and then came Alexej Miller the CEO of Gazprom and topped GS promoting 250. I thought hey he is what GS is waiting for, rich and as clever as a hollow tree trunk. I took a100k short position in wti in a far away contract and bingo: crude fell and fell... and all the oligarchs went belly up. And Godfather Putin had to bail them out. I have a gut feeling the very same is about to happen soon again.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 16:39
In Thread: EUR
born fx experts. Shakespeare was born a poet and others born fx experts. They scribbled some lines in the sand, drew some straight lines and the first word they said was non mum pass the honeypops but it was Eur will go to 1.58 leaving mum and dad dumbfounded.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 16:23
In Thread: EUR
someone here posts with my alias...no I did neither post you are a crazy man stupid idiot nor
you are mad likewise every body on these form ...
as said I am a moron evryone else are fx experts