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Posts by "oldgreywhistletest"

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oldgreywhistletest
(mulhouse, France)
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 26, 2016 13:49
In Thread: EUR
In reply to Sir Ignore's post
long comes the crash and thanks for all dat fish

...the hitchiker guide to he galaxy

keep on fishing puzio...
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 25, 2016 16:36
In reply to bbforex's post
high risk of deflationary prices all over europe increased with little help from ecb to push up its progra further .
scpetic like german on easing monetary policy will put pressure not to increase the allocated amount of printed money.

fractal and elliot waves and nature of law have to prevail.

fed will stay pat for this week meeting and probably also on march meeting with risk always subdued to see eur/usd going to parity.

mind that money creation in europzone will prompt the value of euro down not above the 1.25 but well below the .90 this year.

aud/usd to come testing testing the 0.72400 by begining next month.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 17, 2016 16:40
In reply to usikpa's post
i was expecting the CL to come testing the 27 level and thus creating an open triangle to come retesting the 67 dollars a barrel but after carefully reading of the chart and a too deep drawdown in price below the 44/43, i had favored a 333 patern closing at the 50 level the 4th of october

so yes the price of crude is underway toward unseen level since decades.
prices war will continue...till themergence of a financial center in saint petersburg...
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 17, 2016 16:34
In reply to usikpa's post
usikpa
russia ruble will melt down down the commodity rout and especially its main export component
by end march april i expect the price of barrel to come testing the 13/17 dollars.that said or we see the fed agressively raise rate to defend their financial system or stucture or the fed as stated hoffman in digi video will come with QE4 with fresh impetus on the commodity market, especially oil.
we might see a level of retracement for sure of 1733 points on S&P500 forthis semester but after as elliotician waves counter i dont rject he possibility of watching by third.fourh quarter the S&P breal=king the 1733 for testing the 1300.
watch well the usd/jpy and the rejection three time around the 124 level...like stated DAveO probably one morning japan will be downgraded or warned of downgrade and that will trigger the EM derout continuation.
or probably the rating agency will be mused down not tot issue this warning.
some money manager who got full stomach are too favorable for the japanese economy i dont believe them.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 17, 2016 16:21
In reply to Giarc's post
nobody thinks that japan will be the catalyst for the credit crisis.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 17, 2016 16:19
In reply to oldgreywhistletest's post
eh digi hoffman is stated rightfully what might come in term of monetary policy.
a probable QE4 is underway in end march 2016 when oil will touch the 14/17 level dollar a barrel whith a total decorelation in the oil/gold ratio.
or as defender of the financial system the fed will agressively raise rate in march or stay pat till next meeting after the march one.

still expect GC at 868 then in 2018/2019 the 400 dollars an ounce.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 17, 2016 16:05
In Thread: EUR
eh digi
this hoffman is incredible

the golden veal will be burnt in the seas.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 10, 2016 11:02
In reply to usikpa's post
hi usikpa how are you?

long time...oil to set at the 13 dollars a barrel.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 9, 2016 10:51
In reply to nextSignals's post
Bogle of Vanguard stated that return on investment on corporate america will lag forthe next decades or so.
as for industrial cycles the rate of return on capital is still underwater with most of the before 2009 investment being negative due to interest rate differential.
the inflation policy tryed by central bankers is aimed at insufling a impetus in the rate of return of corporate also. so yes a contraction in corporate america might come but the technological advancement and the investment made in enhancing the techno will help overcome the lack of return. even services sector is full of automatism.
oldgreywhistletest
mulhouse, France
Posts: 0
8 years ago
Jan 9, 2016 9:37
In reply to Rob's post
rob mind that 2017 will be thetime when fed will succeed to be onthe parh of attaining in inflation target and that GC will take off.