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Posts by "speculator"

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804 Posts Total by "speculator":
22 Posts by member
SPECULATOR
(LONDON, United Kingdom)
782 Posts by Anonymous "speculator":
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speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 9, 2010 15:44
In Thread: GBP
q3 and q4 uglier for sterling as fuel taxes help double dip feed into weak domestic demand
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 8, 2010 21:48
In Thread: GBP
amg you took the words right out of my mouth. yes, cable is bound to make a large break but im favouring the downside as there is little data apart from the odd sprise that can move cable higher. Political risk, soverign risks and immediate tightening risks in US should weigh on the pair. But note that march is typically a poor month for the dollar when the next few months go bearish.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 23:05
In Thread: EUR
1.25 for euro on the cars this year 90%
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 13:15
In Thread: GBP
cable is paving the way for 1.45 and what will push it there is falterning UK economic data and eurozone problems. Add the fact that fed will tighten before anyone else. A hung parliment should put further downwards pressure on sterling as i doubt market players all expect a hung scenario to be highly probable. the point is uncertainty remains until the election which attracts lowers bids.

A double dip in uk is extremely likely towards end of year.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 6, 2010 20:36
In Thread: USD
i think the minutes today were USD neutral. ashraf is right about them trying to keep the lid on yields..but they are keeping market on their toes and this would certainly prevent USD selloff but more likely maintain the current uptrend unless market loses patience. but it seems that not many are expecting fed funds hike amytime soon well not before late spring/early summer so the dollar can stand on its legs of now and keep rising against non emergings
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 6, 2010 0:09
In Thread: EUR
guys what happened to the fomc release scheduled this afternoon? i heard nothing yet and nowhere to be documented
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 5, 2010 21:47
In Thread: EUR
ashraf is having a nice long day off with his pints of beer! no trace of him! I guess he will come back after FOMC
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 5, 2010 21:45
In Thread: GBP
however, off the point but i see a double dip in UK at 80% due to almost record high gasoline and borrowing rates which BoE will have to tighten due to fed coordinated pressures sometime this year. Add the fact that we have real wage deflation due to rising inflation and barely any growth in wages and increasing taxes next year!
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 5, 2010 21:43
In Thread: GBP
the correlations are never set in stone..dollar and stocks broke down some time ago...we could still get rising dollar and commods based on relative strength of US economy demanding higher energy sources eg oil..as investors bet on recovery
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 5, 2010 21:10
In Thread: GBP
dollar could possibly tumble if no hike as so many expect it.
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