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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Dec 28, 2011 6:56
test of 1500 in gold and 28 in silver?..
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Dec 27, 2011 8:19
silver still looking weak.. reaction to 28 needs to be watched and a break below means 24..
Callum
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 179
12 years ago
Dec 27, 2011 7:17
Anyone following silver? I also note from Ashraf's hot chart the high net long to short ratios. Just looking at the weekly chart, the weekly moving average (100) seems like a decent support which also happens to be not too far off below the 50% of the fibo from the peaks ('08 low to '11 high). Unless anyone looking at a 24 levels? I am looking for a decent long ...
Nor
Lemberg, Canada
Posts: 249
12 years ago
Dec 16, 2011 17:32
the juicy short in CL is coming to and end.
start buying @90.50-91
gl
and merry christmas all
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
12 years ago
Dec 16, 2011 1:07
I think some CB's also been gently selling gold. The long term trend support from Oct 08 kickin in here c.1555/60
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Dec 16, 2011 0:43
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Dec 15, 2011 23:46
a fundi explanation perhaps?..

"Overnight interbank reports are mentioning quite a few hedge fund closures this week (.. presuming due to under-performance) and this has led to some heavy liquidation of long Gold positions. Same old story, cut the good positions to pay for the bad. They expect the selling to dry up in the next few days and Asian Sovereign bids near $1500.."
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
12 years ago
Dec 15, 2011 23:40
also at long term support.. and headlines like this should support too..

"Gold Sheds 'Can't Lose' Status"
CNBC

Alan111S
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 18
12 years ago
Dec 14, 2011 2:22
Ashraf

Please don't misunderstand me. I am not saying that you are incorrectly calling your trades 'hit all targets' when they haven't.

It's just depending on how one sets up entry, you may be able to call a trade filled, but your clients may not, depending on their risk appetite.

The example I gave was a really good one where your entry range was 1.3450 - 1.3500 and the trade was 'filled' because price spiked 1.3451. The Stop Loss was 1.3530. I personally didn't want 80 pips to my stop so I set my entry price higher and missed the trade.

Because I am in Australia and a lot of the action happens during US session, I regularly have to set and forget trades rather than wait for a technical signal. With the choppiness, over the last few months, I have found it very hard to pick the right trades, so am trying to maximize Risk Reward ratio, by waiting until price nears the end of the range closest to the Stop Loss level before entering. I'm also learning how to judge trades by confidence level and only take the ones with a confluence of factors.

Now I know you are very likely say no to this, but have you considered adding a kind of confidence indicator to your trades, or is that 'a can of worms' that you don't want to go near?

Regards

Alan



I don't know what the answer is - At one point I set e
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
12 years ago
Dec 14, 2011 1:10
Alan,


Ive seen your post earlier this week commenting on what orders I call all done. It is true about what you said regarding entries. But what about the targets? You notice that I only regard all targets to have hit when all of the price target range has been hit. You have seen that often times, we missed the completion of the entire range by 5 pips or 5 cents (in the case of metals) before the price went to hit our stop and I ruled that trade to have been stopped out although many of our clients may have been filled at their targets at their own choosing. If you look at last weeks EURJPY or last nights silver you will know what Im talking about.


Ashraf