More Euro Losses Ahead

Ashraf -

Having just checked your Twitter I think I'm right in assuming you are CHF positive. I'm invested highly defensively - mainly USD, also NOK, with some JPY and CHF, hence my queries. Apologies for any time wasting.

John

Ashraf,

My heartiest wishes & congrats for successfully completing one year on this Forum. (I wanted to send you a card at CMC...but unfortunately, I had been away).

And what can I say that hasn't been said before you & this Forum...so I'll just say a simple 'thanks' (& the rest, ofcourse, you know...in what sight I hold you).

God Bless & keep the good work going... :)


Asad

I posted the below message just two days ago when all seemed glum because of the ramp job on gbp/usd. Now I caution everyone about getting too aggressive and greedy as USDX bulls here.

The same message. Things can turn quickly. Each trading session during the day has it's own characteristics. Don't be afraid to book profits.

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Everyone, let's take a step back and take a deep breath. Any movements in the market today should really be just fpgotton. Very thin trading conditions allows for unexplained movements in select pairs.

Look out further than the next 10 minutes. Of course gbp/usd will go lower. But this week there is a string of data which is set up for gbp positive. The question is, has the market factored this in with the 500 pip rally in gbp off it's lows.

Also, the eur/gbp pair. Just a week ago at 0.9020 analysts were pounding the table for 0.91-0.93, and possible parity (believe it or not). Now, AFTER the pair has broken down in the near term. these same analysts are pounding the table for 0.87/0.84. They may be right who knows.

But what I do know is I don't need a weatherman to tell me which way the wind is blowing today. I need a weatherman to tell me which way the wind will blow in the future. For example. just read these guys regardie aussie. In asian session today, when it fell below 0.92, they were coming with "justifications" as to why it fell, and why it would continue lower and underperform. Now that the pair has rebounded throughout the day, the same people are pounding the table with "justification" for it's upward movement, and calling for tests of 0.9325, 0.94 and calls for parity yet again. Folks, I can do what they do.

And this is why we are all here reading and contemplating what Ashraf has to say. It doesn't always move in his direction on the day we want it, but many more times than not, and with advance analysis, he has proven to be correct.

Yeah, I'll agree euro and gbp may trend higher in the (very) short term. But we all know in FX things change in a heartbeat. Stay the course, do not overleveredge and undercapitalize, allow things to work out, and you will be fine.

Good trading...

Ashraf Which currency would you buy agaist usd as a potential hedge against cable.Thanks

Russian CB starting to invest forex reserves in Canadian dollar might explain some of the weird recent strength in CAD