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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:
EUR
Discuss EUR in this thread
the news about ghost city property price fall 6-70%, just followed by a good news local government will bailout ghost city. cuz they have 30% increase on revenue per yr, black money but from coal/crude/gas.
but rest local governments may not have money to bailout. however central goverment will have some policy about bailout, cuz banks not only act as lender but also borrower, should be able to cook it up.
anyway, rumour many billionaires dont have a mln cash at mo.
in china, the most important thing is meat every meal, so if no QE3, i cant imagine how to bring it down.
but if Ezone banks counterparties fail...then its 707 trn gross margin. This can be inflation if a CB actually prints 707 trn of bills but if not...its deflation. No more cash.
Ezone banks are deeply undercapitalized and that is because there is no separation between
commcercail and investment , these are universal banks. There are hardly any investment baks in USA left from Bear and Lehman collapse.
It could be too late to correct an systemic error, that the ECB was not permitted officially to monetize sov bonds.
Only the USA and UK have recapitalized their banks. Remember, Germany has defaulted twice in the last 100 years.
If the euro banks collapse, the eurozone could lose 50% of its GDP. Next could be Japan, which has the worst financials and demographics in the world (at present, only a 2% interest rate rise on Japanese debt might be enough to cause a default) . The USD will likely sky-rocket. There would be a deflationary depression.
Thanks for sharing, Dave.
I lost almost all my dosh in the snow removal business here in southwest florida...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/kyle-bass-un-edited-buying-gold-just-buying-put-against-idiocy-political-cycle-its-simple
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/jeremywarner/100013438/return-to-sovereign-currencies-wouldnt-be-as-traumatic-as-assumed/