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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 21:42
Thank you Said, Gotcha !
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 21:26
the boe devalued the pound the same way it did it in 1992 by anchoring the money creation to the third phase of inflation; the first one in the 1980s the second after 1992 nad then the third one we r experiencing.
Mervin King projected the UK one time at forward point compared to its european counterpart.
where other have said contraction he was going for expansion. why? because he recognized i think well before a lot of people that we r in secular commodities supercycle.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 21:15
I not sure I understand that remark Said.

I like Mervyn King at BOE because he has been honest and he is not a puppet to politicians like the previous guy Eddie George. Eddie was a puppet and presided over Brown's term as chancellor of the exchequer. Between them they did some terrible things and I even warned the FSA regulator in 2002 that their shit was gonna hit the fan in a big way. Made no difference, little me ! Eddie boy retired to a home just over the hill from me and then died a coupla years ago. His wife is still in the mansion. Nice guy but a puppet who was responsible for great damage colluding with Brown and facilitating Brown's poor judgement.

I like Mervyn King and have high respect for him. I also like Cameron and I like that the coalition partnership was forced by the democratic process. I hate our prospects and I blame Brown and Greenspan.

Please explain "Black Wednesday" to me. You have to realise I am not deeply into fundamentals but I have a great load of common sense. I never thought the common currency for EU could possibly work and I have always hated relinquising power to Brussels. I am a very traditional Brit and a royalist :-)
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 20:24
in conjunction
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 20:18
dave
since 2009 BoE made us a black wednesday in correlation with germany
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 19:30
Said, I could see your levels because they fitted my scenario if GU topped at 5935 and corrected back down again for potential 3rd leg of large ABC corrective. Now that it's made a new high I have to rethink my analysis.

To be honest I think UK and Germany are 100 miles apart. I don't have the confidence in uk economy and our ability to make the planned deficit cuts and thereby retain control from the bond markets and credit agencies. For me, Germany is about the only nation with a potentially sound economy and wonderful manufacturing export base but they need to get back to their own currency, ha.

Therefore I take hardly any notice of the miriad of economic analysts all punting their opinions. The only economics commentator I read is John Mauldin who has proven himself to me over 10 year period. I really do trade what my charts are telling me for longer term positioning and just for fun I do some news trading intra day.

Following other analysts be they tech or fundamental has never been a good play. You only have to read prechter over last 15 year period to know that he has mixed his fundamental opinions onto his charts and the result of that is usually a disaster. Timing is everthing for trading.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 19:16
sounds reasonable the imbalance especially when you cast it in mathematical terms
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 18:58
ok dave
u maybe going to be surprised by what is coming not by me

sterling is on a major trend that is gonna push it at summit
but before sterling wil have to correct by 6/7 percent roughly, that correspond to the level i gave u.
The MPC is going to decide about QE2 and that will be another phase of money creation in direction of CIS india canada and for some time in australia.
the creation and renewal of imbalances is primordial in the economic model developped and thus only for instance euroatlantic will take more form but only with the impulse of great britain and germany.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 18:52
I came into the forum as Ashraf seemed to be having conversation on twitter but for me the whole communication thing is not very good even though Ashraf works expremely hard at it.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 7, 2010 18:35
you wouldnt appreciate my french very much Said. Didnt mean to be rude, just my experience but of course it takes time to come into tune with a new forum.