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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 8, 2010 21:48
Entered GBPJPY long @131.21 and EURGBP long
I think the expected bull trap is close to be ready.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
14 years ago
Jun 8, 2010 20:18
stationdealer, interesting point, but i read in the ft that the euro was still over valued, and that bad debts by the banks still hadnt been fully written down in the eurozone, so it might well be that stocks are good value but they are going to get better value with pressure on euro , but am i right in thinking that any write downs will have yet more negative effect on eurozone stocks? thus even more value ? i keep hearing on stocktwits dont go trying to catch falling knives.... i think this is good advice in these uncertain markets. any thoughts on my ramblings anyone?
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jun 8, 2010 19:04
Not a pretty face, but worth listening to:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2010/06/no_more_money.html

(The BBC3 programme he refers to has gone out, but can be caught for those in the UK on iPlayer).

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jun 8, 2010 19:00
Stationdealer
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 8, 2010 11:41
http://www.morganstanley.com/views/gef/archive/2010/20100119-Tue.html

Morgan Stanley: Get Ready To Bottom Pick European Stocks


In their latest Strategy Forum, Morgan Stanley shows how European stock valuations are now lower then their 2003 trough. At the same time, the VIX, an (imperfect) inverse-indicator of sentiment is near past peak-levels.
Morgan Stanley's Graham Secker:
The 12-month forward P/E in Europe is now below 10X, much lower than the 16-17X reached in 1998 and compared with the long-run average of 14X. The trailing dividend yield is now 3.5%, compared with the 3.3% yield on a euro-weighted government bond. In terms of sentiment, the recent spike in the VIX was exactly what we saw in 1998. The AAII reading was recently at -21, versus the -22 trough n 1998. The put/call ratio recently peaked at 1.5, higher than the 1.3 reached in 1998.
...
The issue for us right now is that many key leading indicators are still at very high levels, meaning that the equity correction has happened sooner than in past cycles. Thus, markets may struggle in coming months as these indicators do begin to roll over. Then, once we start to get more clarity that the global economic recovery is actually sustainable, we would expect markets to rally quite hard.

sultan5568
jubail industrial, Saudi Arabia
Posts: 10
14 years ago
Jun 7, 2010 4:37
Mr. Ashraf , do you expect cable will reach 1.4780 befor 1.4000 .....
sultan
jubail, Saudi Arabia
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 7, 2010 4:32
Mr. Ashraf , when do you think cable will hi 1.4000 ..... is it this week . i have sold cable on 1.4493 and i put my goal 1.4000
Qiman
United States
Posts: 237
14 years ago
Jun 7, 2010 2:01
Prime Minister David Cameron is set to deliver a stark warning about the action need to tackle Britain's budget deficit and public debt.

He is expected to say the UK's economic problems are "even worse than we thought" as he sets out why he believes "painful" cuts are necessary.

In a speech he will say how the 156bn deficit is tackled will affect "our whole way of life".
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/politics/10250603.stm#skip_feature_02
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jun 4, 2010 18:28
Nowdays u cannot tall abt $GBPUSD w/out assessing $EURGBP. 0.8150 eurgbp is more assured than 1.40 for cable

Ashraf
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jun 4, 2010 12:20
Yeah...shorted cable again at 136 tp 1348 does this cable long short play work everyday? No it won't.