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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
Machiavelli
Posts: 113
13 years ago
May 10, 2011 14:53
I meant what is the math behind 70.7%. The halfway between 61.8 and 78.6 is 70.2 not 70.7. That's why I'm curious.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 10, 2011 14:31
project fibs for the 114.83 high to the 94.63 low. I use 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 70.7% and 78.6% for broad standard range. There is sometimes a use for 23.6% and I can filter out the higher levels for certain counts. 70.7% is not so well known but plays in certain symbols, crude being one. In fact the crude high at 114.83 was a quick spike through 70.7% from the all time high to the 33.25 low which I alerted in advance but dunno if anyone pays attention :-) That coincided with 161.8% ext level also alerted in good time.

Guys are generally more interested in signal calls than the actual analysis behind the signals. Shame on them I say. Boasting profits is an irrelevance. Its what produces profits that matters imo.
Machiavelli
Posts: 113
13 years ago
May 10, 2011 12:21
Dave, where's that 70.7% coming from?
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 10, 2011 12:06
Gunjack, Its not so much the 50% level as the confluence of that level with the 100% symmetry in the current retracement pattern. I reckon the move down from the 114.83 high saw a less than perfect 5 wave series down so my preferred count at mo is correction up in progress to make a lower high. 50% or 61.8% would be fairly atypical but also remember I said crude likes the 70.7% (108.91). Both of the sym levels happen to coincide with 50% and 61.8% rets (sym levels 100% and 127.2%). Clusters are more powerful than isolated fib levels as yer know. I am looking at 120 min or 60 min t/f for this as the daily was just straight down. Alternate count is we only completed 3 waves down so this ret is only wave 4 which means should not travel as high as 70.7% ret. In fact I don't like wave 4 idea now because badly exceeding typical time zone.
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
May 10, 2011 9:54
Dave have you found the 50% to be a reliable swing short area in CL or could the cutting of the weekly t/l at that level make this a good r/r zone from a tech view point?
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
May 10, 2011 8:25
Interesting spike last night to 103.40, only for the big boys to then drop the hammer and flush out the weak longs into the pit close, some serious mindf*k games going on there, considering now CL is hovering under 101. Only a matter of time before 10470s and 105 is re-tested
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
May 9, 2011 23:20
yep.. DX at the important juncture.. looking to metals (or RTS if you prefer:-) for direction.. rebound of sorts yesterday but weeklies turning.. GS to the rescue?..
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 9, 2011 21:58
Dx failed to make progress closing above the trend resistance today but dearth of eco stats.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
May 9, 2011 21:53
You ask what is going on at GS, hehehe.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
May 9, 2011 21:35
One has to admit GS calls were eventually precise . Now GS made a long call on wti and brent and it works ,too. What is going on at GS?