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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 23:38
Hey Cat.. remember you are just learning to be a Real Trader:-) leave prices and their correlations to experts like Ash.. comments on relative strengths of interrelated instruments is a different matter though eg. 5y vs 10y..
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 21:10
SUltini, June 9 was the last one as i have been in interviews and deadlines over the past 2 days. I have made updates on EURUSD on the Premium twitter feed @alaidiPremiumFX as well as the latest IMT.

Will post this in the next 24 hours

Ashraf
sultini
Pforzheim, Germany
Posts: 2
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:53
Ashraf sorry i am new here. Where is your EURUSD up date post? i only see in my premium subscription the update from 9th of June.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:51
Ashraf I take only strength data not pair prices. But of course you are right such a functional
relationship is only temporal. But when there is such, we can for sure take it as a measure of risk aversion.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:47
provided the realtime data are correct....I don't see weakness in USD but i see Eur strength waning.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:35
Now see what EURUSD did from Jan to Apr

and what USD 10 yr yield did in the same period.


Ashraf
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:34
I monitor only 5 y btw
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:31
EURUSD posted an UP day today and yesterday
US 10 year yield posted an UP day today and yesterday.

As i said, this correlation is NOT set in stone. But neither is false claim of the opposite.

Therefore, best to avoid making such all sweeping remarks when the exceptions are enormous

Ashraf
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:17
Hum..right now bond yields drop from day's high and USDx rises from day's low. As bond yields fall EURx falls.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jun 14, 2011 20:07
Catnip, leave emotions to psychologists. Instead of committing the irresponsible act of saying USD and bond yields are inverse to one another, they in fact move in tandem recently. Take the trouble of charting US10 year yield vs USDX and you shall see how in tandem the two are moving.

The reason I did not write about the USD/yields correlation is because the relationship shifts from one year to another, with USDJPY being an exception.


The stocks.yields relationship has also changed mainly due to growth concerns/deflation and QE

Ashraf