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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
rose
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 6:49
closing half of my usd chf long from9245 now at 9315 stops to b/e
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 7, 2011 20:02
The usual FED dissidents turn more hawkish. Plosser mused to vote for abrupt end of asset buying so said Fisher and Evans , also a voting member thinks the FED has completed the mission.
Is now a race on for tightening and only ECB could hike but keeps the money tank gates wide open to covertly nourish capital strapped Ezone miracle banks?
Dr. Ben clever man. Mr. Trichet not so clever man.
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 18:22
is there a possib that things get really bad in lybia and usa intervenes and gets physical,would comfirmation of pphysical force help move pl into the usdx safehaven?ok gl:)
rose
United States
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 14:47
and 9220 stops at 9190
rose
United States
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 14:46
going long usd chf now 9245
Qingyu
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 13:34
8.9%, everyone need to learn statistics from US.

Dr Ben, clever man.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Mar 4, 2011 12:56
Watch AHE

US Feb NFP expected at +200K from +36K with the unemp rate at 9.1% from 9.0%. But expectations that negative weather effects would be partially reversed allow for the possibility of seeing +230K-250K in NFP and possibly for the Unemp rate to remain unchanged at 9.0%. Such a scenario would be positive for the USD and broadly negative for JPY. While yen pairs would likely rise across the board, USD dynamics are selective.

Traders must watch the reaction in the US 10- year yields and equity futures indices for the markets receptiveness to the data. Recall the disappointing Jan NFP of only +36K led to an actual RISE in US bond yields and decent reaction in stocks because of the 0.4% decline in the unemp rate and the rise in Average Hourly Earnings (AHE) to a 2.5 year high of 0.4%. USD would be especially boosted if AHE pushes further above 0.4%. EURUSD faces further upside towards $1.4070s but the trade with more certainty is prolonged weakness in AUDUSD highlighted by the inability to break 1.02 and EURGBP increased resistance at 0.8590s. CAD Traders watch out for the IVERY PMI, expected to rebound towards 47 from 41.4, which would be a decent excuse to trigger fresh CAD gains vs GBP and NZD.

Ashraf
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 3, 2011 23:58
looking @ the daily chart on usdx can;t help but notice those 3 lower highs & the sticks look very neat anderly were the last time it tried to climb and resist moving lower..76.50 looks to be setting up to move much lower:(..ok gl:)
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 3, 2011 12:43
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said an improvement in state and local government finances will depend on the rate of U.S. economic expansion.

Hum...that's sharp minded. It requires a razor sharp intellect to conclude that. But between the lines he says the FEd will not bail them out.
chloethebull
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 2, 2011 19:25
any thought on the beige book??looks to me like fed starting to use inflation word alot more/i think there dieing for an excuse to be more hawkish on current monetary policies/but need a reason ..cant say qe1-2 is the result of inflation but if they can create a situation like mideast/higher oil prices it might be what there looking for:) gl guys..ohh ya this is the 2nd time this week that fed talked about inflation prob..plus more commo currancies officials getting more dovish..cad ..nzd..aud..gl:)