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Speaking of shocks, what will be the biggest shock/surprise of 2016?
Fed rate cut
 
 15%
China crash
 
 13%
UK Exit from EU
 
 22%
€/$ < 0.90
 
 11%
€/$ > 1.25
 
 16%
US recession
 
 22%
View Poll..
This thread was started in response to the Poll:

What will be the biggest shock/surprise of 2016?

 
jacobin
Nakhchivan, Azerbaijan
Posts: 0
7 months ago
Jul 11, 2016 22:49
Ms. Ashraf i have been following your interviews for many months now and decided to join you in the forum. There is too much instability in the market and now even some banks are giving signals that there are signs for another crisis in europe.
Like Deutsche bank comment this weekend that Europe will have 150 billion eur bailouthttp://atozforex.com/news/european-financial-crisis-eur150-bln-needed/
Do you think we should be worried about Italian banks? Do you think will euro survive?
Jane Rogers
Dhaka, Bangladesh
Posts: 0
7 months ago
Jul 9, 2016 22:44
The results were very much opposite to what people expected, but the impact was very much expected, I wasn’t able to gain from it, but fortunately I did not lost either, so it was very good experience for me. I go for broker like OctaFX through which I am able to work pretty nicely especially to do with their low spreads starting from 0.1 pips while they also have daily market news and analysis service, it’s all so useful and helps me a lot.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
8 months ago
Jun 20, 2016 1:01
In reply to Rob's post
Hi Rob,

sorry for the late reply. Despite the close polls, Im expecting no Brexit. But Ill be going into the market expecting 50-50. No time to be a hero.

A
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
8 months ago
Jun 13, 2016 0:31
In reply to Ashraf Laidi's post
Ashraf! Are you expecting a Brexit to actually happen!!?? I feel that the world doesn't want it so much that "they'll" fix the polls in favor of staying in regardless... Not to be such a conspiracy theorist...

Your opinion is appreciated.
kingfish
NYC, United States
Posts: 0
8 months ago
Jun 11, 2016 13:55
Vote: China crash

communist party wants to stay in power and would do anything and everything to delay the fix, i.e., privatize, deleverage.. i expect it will be a slow down-hill move to cliff...
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
10 months ago
Apr 8, 2016 20:30
In reply to Dave P's post
I totally agree Dave P.

Ashraf
Dave P
washington, United States
Posts: 0
11 months ago
Apr 4, 2016 10:19
Ofcourse BREXIT it is. UK exit from EU will be a major news across the Europe and the world elsewhere.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
11 months ago
Mar 31, 2016 20:16
Speaking of surprises:

Beware of March NFPs. They have the worst record than any other month.

The table in the Premium section shows the consistency of misses (actual figure below consensus forecasts) in March NFPs over the last three years. In fact, NFP figures for the month of March have come in below forecasts in 7 out of the last 8 March reports with an average miss of -59k.

http://www.ashraflaidi.com/premium/focus-on-usd

Ashraf
Russ2020
la mirada, United States
Posts: 0
11 months ago
Mar 24, 2016 4:57
In reply to Russ2020's post
To expand on my post: "Much like Central Bankers..." .. While the older persons in Central Banking Professions have the "Book-Learin" ..they do not have the practical experience of "Untried & Untested" Monetary Policy Manipulation, but go ahead at "All our Peril" unleashing very potent guesses at what "might" fix our present very complicated financial challenges on present day Planet Earth. Trade well .. Platinum Horizon @RrrussT1
Russ2020
la mirada, United States
Posts: 0
11 months ago
Mar 24, 2016 4:39
Vote: UK Exit from EU

I believe, that much like the Central Bankers, many of the older more fearful members of our countries, will keep the pressure on for Brexit. Any additional terrorist assaults will have an exponential negative effect. Great for trading, but I hope GB does NOT choose Exit. We all need the EU. Russ US