EURUSD 1.1851 |
USDJPY 111.52 |
GBPUSD 1.3772 |
AUDUSD 0.7485 |
USDCAD 1.2406 |
GBPJPY 153.59 |
EURJPY 132.15 |
AUDJPY 83.48 |
CADJPY 89.86 |
Silver 26.23 |
During yesterday's sleepy markets, I highlighted in this tweet the rally in bund futures (rising prices, falling yields) may signal similar price action at the subsequent session, when US bond yields/prices return from Memorial Day Weekend. Today's bond price action did not disappoint, as the homogenous asset class moved in concert, delivering gap ups in prices and falling yields. This was a desperately needed development for yen bulls (particularly USDJPY shorts). Interpret what you wish from the chart below as to which is the dependent and independent variable (USDJPY or yield spread). Who leads whom? Shorting USDJPY has been the "pain trade" for our WhatsApp Broadcast Group, as we await Wednesday's debt ceiling vote and the JOLTs survey. Hanging in there.
By: Gordon_T_Long
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article23555.html
http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-business/dollar-could-hit-us110-on-china-boom-20101017-16ot5.html
http://seekingalpha.com/article/228090-3-reasons-the-dollar-is-about-to-rally-a-contrarian-case-for-the-greenback
your call could be right for a perfect market, but not for a reality driven by short term gains.
I agree with you, as soon as the topic Eurozone emerges again, the direction goes north
But for the time now QE intervention threats from BOJ and fresh liquidity for risk appetite prevail
Negative Fundamentals concerning Eurozone are not important at the moment - obviously
I have found more cautious comments regarding forced Euro strength without fundamental support onhttp://www.newsnow.co.uk/h/Business+%26+Finance/Currencies
perhaps a very helpfulsite for your followers
http://www.thejakartaglobe.com/business/will-america-and-japans-monetary-policies-cause-the-euro-to-rise-further/398144
http://www.khaleejtimes.com/biz/inside.asp?xfile=/data/biztalk/2010/September/biztalk_September37.xml§ion=biztalk
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/65672/20100926/euro-rises-but-for-the-wrong-reasons.htm
I remember your fully convinced and repeated call until June (article Eurozone Core, USD Index & Swiss Knife) for EurUSd 1,16; now three months later your target is 1,38 mainly on the edge of QE reasons
I wonder the reasons for it: changing fundamentals or merely the force of speculants against a single currency
Nobody really assumes fundamental conditions in and for Europe have improved within three months, in my mind only the focus has been altered, now speculating against USD is the focus, in the meantime obviously already undervalued
Shouldn't we be aware of a renewed sudden change of sentiment ? profittaking, rumours on purpose and so on