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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
said
France
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:29
catnip

what i am proposing to the PBOC and efm in frankfurt is raising the standard and capital adequacy ratio till an extent coupled with cross border investment. this is what china do by buying japanese bond nothing to do with an escalating war or the " art of war" it s simply regional consolidation.
malaysia singapore nd indonesia was at the forefront in asia in cross border sector consolidation
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:22
Ah btw. a simple thought experiment: a USD carry trade unwind? In the style of japan, repatriation. This could be the result of a currency war started by the PBOC and the begin of a trade war.
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:17
sorry for the mistake as soon as the topic Eurozone emerges again, the direction for eurusd goes south
mandiwie
kartitsch, Austria
Posts: 69
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:16
catnip

your call could be right for a perfect market, but not for a reality driven by short term gains.

I agree with you, as soon as the topic Eurozone emerges again, the direction goes north

But for the time now QE intervention threats from BOJ and fresh liquidity for risk appetite prevail

Negative Fundamentals concerning Eurozone are not important at the moment - obviously
Hatem
Jordan
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 22:13
Austerity and high Euro will never work out,not now or after ten years .Any one with basic information can tell that.Whatever you name the countriers of big troubles cannot go to Germany all the time for the only solution. I think they have to devaluate their currency to reduce cost on GDP, No one in this world I challenge can ever guess where the price of currency can go !! do you think Fed, Boj ,ECB , and PBOC have solutions or just devaluate their currency and start this market war?
So 1.37 or 1.38 is the top or Euro? or 1.40 or even back 1.18? who knows except the market player or thieves!!
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 21:33
Correct the FED needs not buy municipal bonds but the ECB buys bonds no one else wants except with a fat rate premium. The difference however is US municipal bonds are not subject in rate to the FED fund rate however PIGS bonds should be.
Hence from a fundamental viewpoint investors have less trust in EUR bonds than in US municipal bonds. The ultimate reason is that the USD is the world's trade currency, and reserve currency. Devaluating the trade currency would enforce co-devaluation otherwise an economy gets destroyed by cheap imports and decreasing competitiveness in export.
The core of my argument is the PIIGS cannot achieve reduction of debt relative of GDP only with austerity they need to rise GDP. But they cannot with a "strong" Euro. They need a weak currency. Germany is NOT able to compensate because 60% of its exports goes to eurozone economies. This why the Euro is doomed when USD devaluates and even more when PBOC hikes.
Hatem
Amman, Jordan
Posts: 7
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 21:28
Dear sir
If you think EUR strength will go for ever thats impossible. USA and Europe cannot hold this for ever I hope catnip is right with all respect to ashraf . One question to all, can european industry hold very strong EUR and for how long? the problems in european countries are very huge for Germany to hold alone I think a soulion should be taken to rescue the economy for at least fundimental basics.
Ignore
Jamaica
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 21:23
yo digitail and subway90...surf's up carib....
have biz idea for la puszy

holdin dat swiss
La Puzzy Digitalle
Kukuaka , Bangladesh
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 20:56
tp 3733
said
France
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 28, 2010 20:49
whan i am in london i always have duchy organic biscuit with some swedish marmelade