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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Aug 21, 2008 1:37
Comments: 525
View Analytic
This thread was started in response to the Analytic:

Speculators' Futures FX Positions

The weekly figures on traders' futures commitments obtained from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's International Monetary Market shed valuable light on the developing flows pursuing one currency versus another.
 
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mo
liverpool, UK
Posts: 123
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 22:54
jj speculater
One of the most bullish starling where -walls forgo -they where forecasting GBP/USD at 1.8 by the third quarter but they revised there forecast to 1.58. Deutsche bank forecast 1.50 by the end of the third quarter
https://www.db-markets.com/portal/mediadownload/CMS/en/2_News_Publications/2.2_Publications/daily/200709-chrtengl.pdf

From Bloomberg
Sterling will weaken to $1.53 over the next three months, according to Stannard. The median of 33 analyst forecasts compiled by Bloomberg is for the currency to end the third quarter at $1.59
jj
New Jersey, United States
Posts: 22
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 22:45
whats your view on gbp based on these figures? specs havent gone long, yet mkt moving higher.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 21:55
interesting..goldman is predicing dollar strength over the next 12 months purely on fundamentals, according to bloomberg, currencies.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 20:56
A zoomed in look at the $JPY futures net longs vs $USD highest since Februaryhttp://twitpic.com/b0jdp

Ashraf
jj
New Jersey, United States
Posts: 22
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 20:00
with regards to the specs in yen, maybe the build up was in anticipation of the head and shoulders formation that hasent materialized and therefore we might see them cover all the way up to 97. ala the s & p.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 19:02
Amer, i see GBPCAD (not cadgbp) about 5% lower in 6 months.

Ashraf
ageof aquarius
Mississauga, Canada
Posts: 2
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 16:58
Amer husain
ageof aquarius
Mississauga, Canada
Posts: 2
15 years ago
Jul 20, 2009 16:52
Hi Ashraf,

I am a new member so firstly great site! Whats your view on CAD vs GBP in the short term (July) and for the next 6 months?
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
15 years ago
Jul 2, 2009 0:28
wolf, this could go either way depending on payrolls. but something tells me traders cannot take USDJPY above 97.20

Ashraf
Forexwolf
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 39
15 years ago
Jul 1, 2009 19:03
I guess the USD has different plans today, getting weaker against GBP & EUR?
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