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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
subway90
Korea Sout
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 16:08
KAM..

better to check weekly or monthly chart to see if there is a reversal..
would be easier to detect.. gl
Kam
london, UK
Posts: 31
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 15:52
Check ou daily chart on EURUSD. Price action around 1.4 in last few weeks corresponds pretty much exactly to price action around 1.5 same time last year i.e break of 1.5 small pullback, then higher high and then the HUGE reversal. Uncanny or just good old price behaviour theory. Also noteworthy that news on Euro debt problems, increase in spreads reemerging just like last year....I leave you to ponder...

Ashraf...any thoughts on this
Kam
london, UK
Posts: 31
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 15:45
Ashraf, The usdchf call you made just hit your suggested stop but i think your call is still correct i am now long from 9560 target is 1.0000. stop at 9470. Any thoughts on this? Eur reversal which is probable (a close below 1.4 will definitely favour it) will also boost usdchf long??

said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 13:49
ingbalek

just for culture
INGbalek
Slovakia
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 11:22
Said.
Anyone can have his opinion, cant he/she?
But I still didnt get the point of ur posts devoted to me..

AS FOR ME,.MY RESISTANCE IS 1.4440/4500 (as urs)as well..but b4 that level I m expecting usdx to stabalize a bit twrds those levels I mentioned b4..that mean eurusd 1.4080/10

And As for "whats next after 1.4440/4500" > daring to forecast, but from Elliot point of view, i wouldnt be surprised to see new lows bellow 1.18754..but thats too far to think of it for me
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 7:40
Interesting musings by Roubini but well to the point of FED


How Should Emerging Markets Manage Capital Inflows and Currency Appreciation?
By Nouriel Roubini
11/4/2010 2:00:00 PM | Last Updated

* EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
* HOW TO RESPOND TO CAPITAL FLOW EPISODES
1. Do nothing and allow/accept the currency appreciation accompanying these inflows
2. Unsterilized FX intervention to prevent a nominal appreciation
3. Sterilized intervention to prevent a nominal and real appreciation
4. Controls on inflows of foreign capital (capital controls)
5. Fiscal tightening and public asset and liabilities management
6. Macro-prudential regulation/supervision of banks and financial institutions
7. Massive large-scale long-term sterilized FX intervention
* SUMMARY OF THE POLICY IMPLICATIONS: DIFFICULT POLICY[...]
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 7:03
As assumed yesterday by using only algebra no charts USDx stabilizes at 76
this is effect of FED forced co devaluation
EUR and CHF must devalue more to fill the equations
although actual inflation in Ezone higher than actual inflation in US
Ezone politicians clueless too narrow ties with big players . corruption almost all time high
said
France
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 21:40
meanwhile
someone
somewhere behing the scene
a lady put her iron teeth to have a fresh from the farm salad with some squid not paul the third poole the squid the one that chose the spanish minitry of foreign affair as a winer.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
13 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 21:19
eh balek
some lecture for you
have a drink on the house good job

Remarks to the National Model UN Conference


Ambassador Susan F. Burk
Special Representative of the President for Nuclear Nonproliferation
Keynote Address

Washington, DC

October 29, 2010


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Good evening and thank you for inviting me today to speak with you about multilateral diplomacy and the importance of international institutions in creating a more peaceful and prosperous world.

Before I begin, let me commend you for participating in this exercise and for your commitment to learning how to address international challenges through multilateral diplomacy. International organizations and regimes are critical to managing global issues, and the United States Government, under President Obamas leadership, is taking great measures to reinvigorate and reinvest in these institutions.

As you probably know by now, working multilaterally is difficult, especially because most international organizations and regimes operate by consensus. If youve ever tried to decide where to eat or which movie to see with a large group of friends you probably know just what I mean - reaching consensus agreement on anything often is a challenge.

However, despite the challenges of working multilaterally, there are tremendous benefits and rewards to be gained. For example, without multilateral engagements, often under the auspices of the United Nations system, it would not be possible to as accurately forecast the weather, send and receive mail from overseas, manage global health epidemics, or even communicate on our cell phones. Whether through the World Meteorological Organization, the Universal Postal Union, the World Health Organization, or the International Telecommunications Union multilateral organizations affect all of our lives in a profound and pervasive way, even if we may not always realize it.

International institutions not only help facilitate the mechanics of modern life, but also are critical to finding solutions to complex problems, and establishing and reinforcing global norms. An excellent example of this is the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, or NPT, which is the foundation of the global nuclear nonproliferation regime. The NPT and the larger nuclear nonproliferation regime address the fundamental dilemma of the nuclear age. The same materials and technology that promise important progress in energy production, human health, agriculture and water management, can be used to produce mankinds most horrific weapons.

Early attempts at nonproliferation, or preventing the spread of nuclear weapons, failed. However, there were important developments. The International Atomic Energy Agency was created in 1957 to promote development of the peaceful uses of nuclear energy, while its safeguards system aimed to prevent the use of nuclear energy for weapons purposes. By the 1960s the peaceful uses of nuclear energy continued to grow, and it was clear that the nuclear industrys growth would be even greater in the future. Concern grew that without a legally binding nonproliferation agreement, the spread of nuclear technology risked a rapid, corresponding spread of nuclear weapons. In 1963, President Kennedy told news reporters that he worried that in the not-too-distant-future as many as 25 states might possess nuclear weapons.

With strong support from the UN General Assembly the NPT was negotiated in the Eighteen Nation Disarmament Committee. The Treaty opened for signature in1968 and entered into force in 1970. It rests on three mutually reinforcing pillars: nonproliferation, disarmament, and the peaceful uses of nuclear energy.

President Obama stressed this aspect of the Treaty in a speech he delivered in Prague in April 2009. He affirmed the importance of the relationship between these three pillars when he noted that "The basic bargain is sound: countries with nuclear weapons will move toward disarmament, countries without nuclear weapons will not acquire them; and all countries can access peaceful nuclear energy."

The NPT, which recently marked its 40th year, has withstood the test of time. Forty-six states signed the Treaty in 1970. It now has 189 Parties, making it nearly universal and the most widely subscribed to arms control treaty in existence. The NPT is now regarded as one of the most important international legally binding agreements. It and the wider nuclear nonproliferation regime that has grown up to support, establish important international norms and create an important framework for multilateral cooperation across its three pillars. This cooperation has helped avert the kind of world that of which President Kennedy warned in 1963.

That is not to say that the Treaty does not face serious challenges. It does. For in
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
13 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 20:23