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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 3, 2010 17:02
Comments: 116
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This thread was started in response to the Article:

$1.32 Euro Under Construction

The deteriorating momentum of sovereign concerns in the Eurozone & further dissenting rhetoric from FOMC to weigh further on EUR & other risk currencies.
 
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 12, 2010 16:45
@phs-ok, you are the second to mention the GOLDman-backed PPT, so I will respectthe forum and cut it out. It does get (g)OLD(man) after a while, but I think you all get the message that there is CONSTANT subtle interventions and manipulations in these markets.

R.I.P. my dear friend GOLDman, R.I.P.

Over and out!
Rob
New York, United States
Posts: 305
14 years ago
Feb 12, 2010 16:32
Hey Ashraf,

What will your hours be for the Expo in NYC? Are you there the whole time from Sun. to Tues.? Hope I get to stop by. Have a nice trip over!
phs3721
United States
Posts: 1
14 years ago
Feb 12, 2010 16:19
Pipped Off - Congrats on the profits. I too find Ashraf invaluable. Some advice - chill with the Goldman commentary and lets keep these forums pure. Stick to the charts and the analysis. I don't want to make Ashraf's job any more difficult...and I would hate to see him start restricting access and/or limit this extremely valuable format. Enjoy your profits over the weekend!
PippedOff
Canada
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Feb 12, 2010 0:10
GOLDman Sachs Cable Cartel back at it again-offering eur/gbp to the world
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 23:54
@Rim: This is just an "amateur" viewpoint, but IMHO, gold is the ultimate safe-haven**, regardless of what else is happening in the market. As such I think it can "have a mind of its own" to some extent (one of the CMC commentators - not Ashraf this time - said as much on a recent YouTube video).

So my guess is that the markets got the jitters over the whole European thingk, and maybe China as well, and no doubt a few other things, and so we are seeing a bounce in gold. Unless it motors on tomorrow, I don't necessarily think it means a great deal. But that's just a personal opinion from a *non-expert* .


(**This is why I - and a lot of other people I think - are long-term bullish gold. However, we have an intermediate-medium-term situation at the moment where the long-term bull market has been interrupted - sooner or later it will resume. The $64,000 question is only "when?".)

Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 22:35
Hi everyone, been very busy today, working on 1500-word pieces and preparing for the Expo in NY on 14-16. STOP BY MY BOOTH at the Marriot Marquis Here are details
http://www.moneyshow.com/nyot/exhDetail.asp?coid=ashraf&webid=17577&hasProfile=true


Ashraf
rim
Turkey
Posts: 121
14 years ago
Feb 11, 2010 20:52
Hi Ashraf ,

How do you evaluate the situation while EU 1.36 but Gold 1095 ? DXY still above 80 . Why Gold so high?
Chartvuze
salisbury, UK
Posts: 18
14 years ago
Feb 10, 2010 16:58
Hi Ashraf/forum

Its a big day for Greece on April 20 they have to repay 8 billion euro to bondholders they should try for a loan from say Spain Portugal or maybe Dubai

Good luck out there
coolshades
UK
Posts: 53
14 years ago
Feb 10, 2010 11:07
re xaron,callum and montmercy's posts,

there is a significant difference between the eurozone issues and the usd issues.

no matter how bad the debt is in california, new york or wherever, those arent independent nation states and will NEVER be allowed to drown. the Federal government WILL step in to save them with whatever measure possible, even if that is printing money.

in the eurozone, the solutions are less clear. i doubt greece, spain and portugal will be allowed to leave the union and go back to their old currencies. in fact that will never happen. however the structure of the eurozone economies will be seriously tested because all these are independent nation states WITHOUT the ability to print their money to freedom!

i would not be surprised to see civil unrest in greece, spain and portugal in the coming months.

at the end of the day for the large funds, this is all about perception of risk and the USA any day is perceived to be less risky than the eurozone, given the current issues today.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 10, 2010 10:57
I found this link on another forum, and was going to post it here for another reason, but it is also slightly relevant to Xaron's post. It is a report from the Bank for International Settlements. Have a look at the chart on page 10 (it is a PDF):
http://www.bis.org/publ/rpfxf07t.pdf?noframes=1

I had previously quoted from memory that EUR/USD and cable were much more traded than EUR/GPB, and thus I could not see that EUR/GBP could be used to manipulate EUR/USD or cable. Rather it is EUR/GBP that is the reed that blows one way or the other in the wind of the other two. I'll repeat the more significant ones here, this for 2007; the numbers are in percent share.

EUR/USD 27
USD/JPY 13
USD/GBP 12
USD/AUD 6
USD/CHF 5
USD/CAD 4
EUR/JPY 2
EUR/GBP 2
EUR/CHF 2

In 2001, EUR/USD was 30 and USD/JPY was 20, so it changes over time. Since then, USD/SEK has come along, at 2% for example. (NOK not shown).

There is supposed to be another report due in 2010.

I myself am surprised that cable is less than half of EUR/USD.