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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:59
its not for tomorrow
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:58
yep, deflationay spiral will not be avoided. They been kicking the can down the road since way back into Greenspan era. I would like to see Greeny and Brown burnt at the stake.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:51
that why they have to wait end Q1
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:35
because falling USD will eventually demand higher interest on UST as a compensation...
and eventually FED must buy more UST... and so on. But if so, the easing will have the opposite effect because the risk of raising bond rates especially long term falls back on industry and housing. Mortgages will rise. The taxpayer is charged more and spends less.
It won't work. Because qe eventually causes what it is supposed to fight, a deflationary spiral in economy and inflation in taxes food commodities.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:32
by the past as shown in ashraf book the fed raise rate. it would be shooting one self on the foot because afterward they will have to decrease the fed fund rate.
yield are going back to 4
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:22
that has been my opinion, too.
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 19:08
i am not expecting the fed to intervene by easing in using QE. there is a bad timing in using this funds.
if i was ben i would take the hit till feb/march by selecting the purchase
i said and reiterate thereis going to be three phases of QE. this second muts be the least important.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 5, 2010 18:55
Now when, how much?
"And he (Bernanke) became the latest Fed official to suggest the central bank is leaning toward more asset purchases in an effort to jump start the sputtering U.S. economy.

He said previous purchases of nearly $2 trillion in mortgages and long-term Treasurys by the Fed had been an "effective program" and when asked about the possiblity of additional purchases, he responded "I do think they have the ability to ease financial conditions."

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 1, 2010 18:18
Does the FED really have duty to aid economy? And if so how could that be achieved by devaluing the USD ? Actually monetizing UST is the same as reducing the effective rate to negative values. If anyone saves money he will lose. Thus any aid is based on credit fuelled
consumption. This is why China has to appreciate yuan because otherwise the consumer would prefer cheap stuff made in China. Thus in fact the USD weakness hinges on PBOC.
It is almost impossible that PBC does not yield eventually. To prevent importing inflation the
PBOC must either hike rate or buy more UST. There is no third option.
redstone
bristol, UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 1, 2010 17:33
Ha. Im not sure but its as if the purchasers of USD have finally had enough of financing Americas lifestyle. Iraq,Afghanistan and sabre rattling over Iran the constant protection of Israel and be damned to the rest of the people in the middle east as long as America gets its end. Are the chickens finally coming home to roost ?