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Posts by "bigbaby"

48 Posts Total by "bigbaby":
21 Posts by member
bigBaby
(Singapore, Singapore)
27 Posts by Anonymous "bigbaby":
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 18:28
@chloe, I couldnt have guessed the experienced traders from the not so experienced ones; but now that I am told I would inform dave.

The next trade I am eyeing is the Euro. To sell at 14750. Why ? Straight long term trend line resistance at about 14690, right ? Also fundamentally i feel that Euro is overvalued medium term.

The other one which is tempting my punting instinct is gold, to buy if it breaks 1510. Might have to wait next week for that.
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 14:06
Sorry sir, to be fair, none of the 3 websites I frequent, viz. EWI, Elliott Wave Lives On or Elliott Wave predictions opined selling. In fact the 3 or so metal websites GoldnSilver, Silver.org & Casey Research have been advocating a buy even at these so-called "high" levels. This is the only forum that I visit and where I utter some nonsense. Thanks for the anonymity of this internet thingy.

Not giving excuses here but I think I do tend to get caught up with fading when I see others do it. I am generalising, but one glance at the posts and you feel that many are trying to pick a bottom with the USD or top is some other counter and it feels safe to be doing it with others. Typical greenhorn tendencies, I guess.

That is why I feel the need for someone above to shout at me to do the right thing.
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 12:47
I was stopped out with silver at 45.45. So much for my maiden foray into silver and attemp at fading it. On hindsight, when I sold it at 44.73 I ought to have taken some profit out of it at 44.30 or even 44.50 rather than hoping for it to breach 44 and hit my target of 4380, afterall silver is in a bullish streak.

I am reading that what we have witnessed in silver is still not a 'parabolic' move yet. Frankly if this is not parabolic I dunno what is(well then again I am only a 3 month old 'trader'.

When I asked a broker friend of mine what constitutes a 'parabolic move' in the case of silver he says that that will mean $2-3 upward movements everyday and towards the last stages even $5 a day movements. Cant quite imagine that.

This is not for the faint hearted. This quick silver hardly retraces and when it does it does the quickest of u-turns. And gold and silver play like a tag team together, when one sleeps the other makes its moves but finally they pull each other right along.

Appears that it's safer to join than to bet against this solid tag team in the current climate, IMHO.

Cant figure out how EWA fits into all this. Even EWI has given up with wave counts for silver for the past week or so. Yet EWI's current word on silver price is that- it is "highly unstable". Cute description.




bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 20, 2011 13:59
@daveoO.

I subscribe to the same philosophy. "Do the job right and everything else will follow". But to get to do the job right, one must be passionate about their job, IMHO. "Chase money and money will find a way to run away from you"- they say. This market adds another factor into the mix, that is ego. Apart from discipine, I suspect that ego is the other factor that lets traders down.

To have the "passion" is one thing and to keep the passion sustained is yet another, IMHO.

Most people make their money from their careers and not from investments. Am acutely aware of that, so I will have to hold on to my day job.
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 20, 2011 13:38
... same old philosophy at selling at big or semi big fugures (45 for silver) or thereabouts when prices hit them first time round.

Not expecting any major turn around from here. If it gets to 43.80 I will be elated. But if it breaks through 45 enroute to 50, nothing surprising either.

I will buy it back at 46.30 then.





bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 19, 2011 16:16
The most convenient target to set is a monetary one. I would be lying if I said that I am only in it for learning. Funny that money enables us to measure our success in matters that we otherwise wouldnt be able to measure.

Have read so many times that breaking even in these markets is an achievement in itself. So with that in mind I am hoping to break even during the first 2 years and am aiming for 10% returns p.a thereafter.

My entrance into the markets(beginning of this year) coincided with the rise in metal prices. So that piqued my interest in gold and silver and I am getting impatient to trade in them. Have been persuaded and brainwashed into thinking that they are the ultimate currency and store of value(not by EWI definitely).

These 'barbaric metals' are now looking sexy, i.e the physical bars and coins.

So while accumulating them, I felt it would be fun to also engage in some longer term paper gold investments and some small time paper trades in these metals.

I realise I have a fatal attraction going on in here- with apparently 2 difficult subjects- EWA & Gold/Silver.

But like they say, better to have tried and failed than not to try at all.

bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 18, 2011 21:44
@dave, since I am gainfully employed elsewhere for the foreseeable future, I am glad I dont feel pressured to perform in this market(s). To that extent I will accept my fumbling, whilst toying with the dreaded not- so-easy-to-apply EWA, which nevertheless to me is by far the most interesting of all the technical methods. Coupled with some strict money and trade management discipline, I intend to escape with limited losses if I have to from this otherwise treacherous and unpredictable yet interesting market.

I am still inclined to think that fundamental news together with crowd psychology(despite Prechter's refusal to reconcile the two, I can somehow imagine both of these acting in unison most of the time) determines the overall directions of markets. Nevertheless I am hoping that with some degree of knowledge in EWA I would be able to formulate my own entry and exit points and appreciate/understand or refute what the gurus are saying. I do like to read and make notes(long time habit) so that's not really a problem.

Must make mention of Tony from Elliott Wave Lives who not only puts out his commentary daily for free but is very accommodative and responsive to all kinds of queries, including those which are technical that are put to him incessantly. God bless that guru and his community. If you have done your part in the past, you have already earned your stripes. Whoah !
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 18, 2011 18:12
@dave, I did have a look at R Miner's website the other day and visited it again just now.

It appears that they have lots and lots of vids and courses but no human tutor or personal coaching at their end. I could be wrong but the latter's what I am really after, quite apart for some pointers for long term positioning.

(Pure vids in this regard smack of a lack of passion, when passion is what matters most with all great things in life).

Anyways I have sent them an email to clarify all that.

Thanks, I will follow up with them when they respond.

P.S: It's incumbent to impart the skills/knowledge that you have on to others. Greater merit and satisfaction there, I suppose, especially if you make a good teacher. Can see that you are already doing that in part in this forum. Great. Just wish I could understand all this tech stuff you talk about sometimes. Let alone that, I had to actually google to find out what "CL" means !
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 18, 2011 17:09
@daveO

I have this habit of placing stops 40 to 50 pips away from big or semi big figures. You are right no logic to it. Every level looks like a fib level to me.

Having said that, 1510 looks just as good as any fib to me. Since it is a tighter stop and it involves gold, ok will take that cue and place my stop there.
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 18, 2011 16:20
Hi daveO,

Cant deny anything of what you have said about them, having experienced them first hand recently.

Perhaps my biggest gripe with them is that they give no clue as to where or when to cut any loss, save in some instances lately involving silver. Well I dunno, maybe I am expected to subscribe to their more expensive "speciality service" for their revelation of exit points or they are assuming that only experienced traders subscribe to them.

Frankly I have no qualms shelling out $199 p.m for their speciality service. I can actually live with a wrong advice or opinion but it is their unbending approach(at least for the last 3 months and for the last 2 years or so from what I hear) to trading, or investing, which is scaring me.

As a novice I was taken in by their overall presentation style, countless educational videos and most importantly the availability of their many tutors for the different markets at their site. It looked like a very formal and structured setting catered for learning. It has been about 3 months now, but unfortunately I am still scared of going to them for lessons.

I will readily admit that I am the impatient and gambling sort. My John Wayne style of shooting from the hips with whimsical entry and exit points is not going to get me far, I realise. That should explain my starting to trade without engaging in any "formal education" in trading. I am trying to learn on-the-job with some "experts" teaching me and guiding me, all at the same time.

Sid's webinar of Elliott Wave Predictions was oversubscribed last Sunday so I will endeavour to attend his next one. He looks old enough to be a teacher of Elliott Wave principles to me. His videos which address recent and expected moves are thus far impressive. What can I say ? I fall for first impressions easily.

Got to submit to a guru sooner or later anyway. Anyways that's how I see it. I would imagine that for most of us, a teacher or guru (or whatever one may call them) is necessary to learn the ropes and to go on and succeed- in any trade, pardon the pun. Really cannot emphasize enough the need for some proper and formal education in any field of interest prior to egagement.

Being self taught is of course a cool concept. But without any guidance from a mentor, I cant really see myself working through this myriad of tools and information.

Ok sorry, I was just rambling whilst waiting for gold to hit my arbitrary targets. Thanks for reading this post if you made it this far.