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Posts by "carlco"

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193 Posts Total by "carlco":
150 Posts by member
Carlco
(bristol, United Kingdom)
43 Posts by Anonymous "carlco":
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Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 26, 2009 22:12
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
it is puzzling why GBP is so strong, isn't there a 2,000 million 40 year bond auction tomorrow in the uk?
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 26, 2009 22:06
In Thread: Dollar Slashed as Fed Goes Shopping
probably time to start a AUDUSD poll ashraf ;)
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 26, 2009 19:39
In Thread: Dollar Slashed as Fed Goes Shopping
i nearly bought gbpusd@15825 , about 2.30pm gmt. it then went over 40 minutes to 15930+ , now thats nice profits, i was scared though its been a bit market up and down by over -/+100 , entry and exit points are a bit hair raising, i see that nzd is scared of a downgrade, is AUD still strong against the dollar for tomorrow ? what range am i looking for, im hoping to get in sometime AFTER news of the US bond auction, is this a good strategy ?
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 26, 2009 9:01
In Thread: Dollar Slashed as Fed Goes Shopping
thanks ashraf, i can just about keep up with you on gbpusd, everything else is a blur, this week i think is going to blow my mind, especially if countries step in to support $, i think its posturing, but i remember BoJ on the yen in the 90's at about this time actually , everyone winding down for summer and bam! the bank crisis hit and traders being burnt on BoJ imf interventions, so im staying alert for support after failed auctions. i love the way we have end of contracts , auctions and MA's converging this week.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 25, 2009 20:58
In Thread: Dollar Slashed as Fed Goes Shopping
refresh my memory on why nzdusd is a preferred trade to audusd
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 22, 2009 18:19
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
a small thought on breaking USD / equity trends/correlation, in a world of low interest rates, any yield on shares is better than no yield on cash, in fact anything is better than cash. I think attention on the dollar is going to intensify next week though, it seems the penny has finally dropped with S&P making noises about the UK, the US, i think is a case of the king has no clothes. I have to agree Ashraf you got cut short on BNN at the end, which was your most interesting point. cable target, even if equities retrace moderately, 165 , the reverse head and shoulder i can't really see it, theres a possible right reverse shoulder at maybe 180 !! , my feeling is the GBP has no more legs in it and GBPUSD is rising only off of dollar weakness, born out by the bond market. Time to look elsewhere for big moves, EURUSD AUDUSD AUDJPY USDJPY , im favouring a big move in AUDUSD , theres a lot of metal action and dollar weakness , i haven't watched this pairing atall, is it time to get focused on this pair?
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 22, 2009 14:57
In Thread: EURJPY Headed Lower
i liked the crime scene thing too, except the murderers are still on the scene looking for more victims!
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
May 22, 2009 13:11
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
hey ashraf , hope you don't mind me posting this link, but it sent alarm bells ringing that lessons from japan, usa, uk, still aren't being learnt, i sometimes wonder what it's going to take. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8062380.stm
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
May 22, 2009 10:23
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
in fact ashraf, im going to make myself look like a donkey (or genius) , looking at the daily GBPUSD the MA100 has a steep curve up and is on a steep intercept course for the MA200 by early June, looking back at where the dollar stood pre-Lehman's GBPUSD@2000(approx) , a retracement of 38.2% from march lows leaves us at GBPUS160 , 50% GBPUSD168, 61.8% 17550, although i think 17550 would be pushing it. Your thought on this possibility would be appreciated.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
May 22, 2009 9:59
In Thread: Dollar Slashed as Fed Goes Shopping
hey ashraf , just read your post after my other post! lol we are on the same thought's amazing!
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