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Posts by "cat0nip"

1999 Posts Total by "cat0nip":
1927 Posts by member
cat0nip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
72 Posts by Anonymous "cat0nip":
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 14, 2013 14:24
In Thread: EUR
As posted I did never give a cent on ECB balance sheet tightening
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 14, 2013 9:48
In Thread: EUR
AL still heading for EU 1.4?
For first time ever started a trade based only on credit flags
USD/NOK long. Interestingly fx lags credit deterioration by about 12 hours.
No wonder markit doesn't sell CDS RT to individuals.
No , it is not ECB worrying strong EUR ( strong? really?)
it credit deterioration of Germany and France while Italy Ireland Spain see improvement.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 12, 2013 22:19
Palladium appears a more hot and possibly highly unsafe play than gold. But why? First it is the biggest producer the russian Norilsk Nickel who is artificially shortening production. Next it is imho unfounded rumors about whopping demand. Rumors that russian oligarchs drive futures up while on the other side COT is strong short. Thus palladium could as well rally to 1000 or drop to 600 ..400 . A long squeeze is rarely mentioned but it is desastrous. A similar situation was with crude. Goldman called 150/bbl the russian Gazprom called for 200 and crude dropped from 130 to 40. Long squeeze. The russian oligarchs went belly up Putin bailed them out and GS raked big profits.
I think this year huge profits can be made with Palladium trade, either way.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 12, 2013 19:47
In Thread: EUR
had some good luck as i had a short pyramid built on JPY crosses.
These are constructed as a money management system . But the came out of the blue the JPY spike up and all shorts were triggered.
I sat on a margin larger than my account and hurried to close all
shorts , because that was an algo spike. Triggering a short squeeze and someone made big money.
In absolute terms the JPY weakness still persists but no more in relative terms. Interstingly its now the same strength meter reading as this morning at Sydney open.
I think such spikes will occur more frequently as the devaluation race moves on. And makes trading more risky than ever.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 12, 2013 8:47
In Thread: EUR
Donkey meat in UK traditional banquet dinner fish 'n chips!
Strange things happen these days.
I noticed once again USD is the most constant currency.
And again someone sold EUR and bought JPY right in the openeing of thin volume Sydney fx market.
Analysis of strength meter readings over a couple of past days reminds me the JPY weakness could end abruptly.
The meter was also correct in calling GBP short after the "Cameron victory over EU bureaucracy" turned out as a fake.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 10, 2013 21:33
In Thread: EUR
In reply to DaveO's post
English cooking is that cooked wild boars? Served with cooked chips in fried peppermint sauce...that is the only stuff that keeps Merkel from dethrowning the Queen and take her place...
no the worlds't best cuisine is Turkish.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 10, 2013 21:22
In Thread: EUR
EUR starts weak in Sydney EU 33565 EJ 123,815 UJ 92,71
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 10, 2013 21:13
In Thread: EUR
Draghi did a verbal intervention, not more. The strength meter showed interestingly the USD was the most constant currency.
EUR JPY were politically - not technically - driven . The constancy of the USD was quite interesting.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 8, 2013 18:56
In Thread: EUR
In reply to DaveO's post
I am about convinced the deal will not get ratified. That is the reason for a short pos cable.
Cable short is now back at entry. Was almost knocked out.
Anyway German French TV channel, after ots of good docus on travels in France, has now started to cover Cornwall.
Started with a public address by Merkel within a year they'll drive....ya know.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
Feb 8, 2013 17:06
Very few people none of them chartists have understood the difference of Fed QE and ECB QE.
The Fed may indeed stop QE4 before a particular level of unemployment is actually achieved, the ECB can never stop QE.
The very thin and even alleged LTRO backflow adds to serious doubts in EUR.