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Posts by "catnip"

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2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
2 Posts by member
catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
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catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 2, 2011 12:14
In Thread: Euro: Where to Next?
It is correct Bundesbank is short of around Eur 320 bln and hence bankrupt. Neither Ireland nor Greece nor Spain will be able to pay back the loans. Especially not if ECB hikes.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 2, 2011 7:26
In Thread: EUR
funny folks here masquerading as successfull traders.... no idea what determines value of currencies... its all in the charts ( OF PAIRS!! ROFL) ... someone wrote i take currency strength meter as part of decision....no idea what a currency strength displays... there is no other measure than currency strength. I wonder what these folks trade....I trade strength differences.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 20:40
In Thread: EUR
clever buddy yes.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 20:13
In Thread: EUR
End of Euro is close. I ordered my bank today to cash out my account in USD cash. That will take them a week as USD cash is very rare.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 19:47
In Thread: USD
Indeed treasury yields fall prices rise 10 y 119,2 . At the moment USD positive and USDx raises accordingly above 77 ... however something is dead wrong here with bond markets.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 19:07
In Thread: EUR
yes thursday ECB is in a trap need stronger EUr to quell inflation but that dampens export and hampers recovery of the weaker members and moreover drives up interest to be paid for emergency loans . But the EUR construct is basically socialistic the rich feed the poor so the success depends on global economy recovery. Anyway the final days of Eur are close.
One should change EUR now into USD cash.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 18:53
In Thread: EUR
made a new calculus... it is indeed likely ECB annouces a 0.25% hike wednesday. If that were the only factor determining EUR strength ( note IF) then the EURUSD range will be 1385 1395 .
But yield differentials aren't the only determinant.

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 17:57
In Thread: EUR
however the party can be spoiled Dr.Ben gives a damn' on rising oil but exploding ppi could force ECB's hands . I think most of that is already anticipated and priced in thus if ECB merely talks EUR will drop sharply.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 16:41
In Thread: EUR
In simple terms: the assumption fx is ruled by sentiment is absurd. Bernanke governs it Trichet etc. But not a handful of sentimental traders. They can move 10 pips and thats it.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 1, 2011 16:35
In Thread: EUR
Think what Dr.Ben thinks. Dr.Ben clever man. Dr.Ben isn't into chart astrology. Dr.Ben reportedly
uses Bayes. That is advanced astrology.
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