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2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
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catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
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catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 28, 2011 21:37
In Thread: USD
ok. algebra is precise target hit.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 28, 2011 21:36
In Thread: EUR
Why Weber resigned: Bundesbank may have to write off Eur 326 bln.
Apparently Bundesbank gave credits to liquidity strapped EZone banks. These rose from Eur 18 bln in 2008 to 326 bln in 2010. This is the secret of basically bankrupt but ever climbing spanish banks and savings. If there is a haircut, then Bundesbank claims will be cut as well.
Thus the air for Eur gets thinner day by day.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 28, 2011 20:46
In Thread: USD
ok US fx close will be EURUSD 13805 +- 5 pip ... asia trade , aussie nz dunno yet.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 28, 2011 20:14
In Thread: USD
Provide my algebraic , that is 100% chart-free method is correct EURUSD should now be capped around 13805. It will not go higher in US trade.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 28, 2011 20:12
In Thread: USD
No. The euro bulls mistake is they cannot compare US debt ( for ex. budget deficit ) with the respective EZone debt. Ezone debts aren't manageable, US debt is.
The Ezone administration in terms of cost outdoes US administration by a factor of 6. And none can be fired . US simply closes government and period. Unthinkable especially in officials' paradise Germany.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 28, 2011 20:01
In Thread: USD
Only the US has a manageable budget deficit.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 27, 2011 21:04
In Thread: Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
given that China GDP was cooked up anyway real GDP if officially 7% may really 5% and China has already 60 million officially unemployed... most possibly wealthy Chinese will start piling up commodities as hedge and so aussie will not drop but then eventually crash when China is full of stocked commodities. At start of trading aussie comes down a bit and USD goes up.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 27, 2011 15:38
In Thread: EUR
Nothing is settled but big number of maturities of troubled bonds due in March. What if Ireland leaves Euro? And eventually why not? It is possible. Banks will fail Euro would be hit hard.
Imo , I stay with Maestro Greenspan who said when Eur was introduced the common currency cannot last long. Mr Alan and Dr.Ben clever men.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 27, 2011 15:23
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Dont focus too much on Lybia the real threat is Algeria. A riot there would hit France hard.
I shorted gas de France stock ( GDF ) with CFD, also Total stock. I am still long gasoline future.
Also Portugal has close ties with Algeria gas&oil.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 27, 2011 10:23
In Thread: USD
Quite interesting. The trader however should draw valid conclusions in terms of which pairs to trade. Is it useful to trade most traded pairs ? Or exotic pairs ? What happens to either if liquidity swells, or dries up? Is there on optimum?
Using currency strength , the differences of differences of strengths is equivalent to correlation
coefficients and the the difference of these ( the third derivative) can indeed serve as entry and exit signals far more precise than technical analysis of a pair chart .
Unfortunately no currency strength meter supports processing strength ticks . Thus one has to
do a lot of software designing by oneself. The core is a database.
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