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Posts by "catnip"

2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
2 Posts by member
catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 27, 2011 15:23
Dont focus too much on Lybia the real threat is Algeria. A riot there would hit France hard.
I shorted gas de France stock ( GDF ) with CFD, also Total stock. I am still long gasoline future.
Also Portugal has close ties with Algeria gas&oil.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 27, 2011 10:23
In Thread: USD
Quite interesting. The trader however should draw valid conclusions in terms of which pairs to trade. Is it useful to trade most traded pairs ? Or exotic pairs ? What happens to either if liquidity swells, or dries up? Is there on optimum?
Using currency strength , the differences of differences of strengths is equivalent to correlation
coefficients and the the difference of these ( the third derivative) can indeed serve as entry and exit signals far more precise than technical analysis of a pair chart .
Unfortunately no currency strength meter supports processing strength ticks . Thus one has to
do a lot of software designing by oneself. The core is a database.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 26, 2011 9:45
In Thread: EUR
Genius of finances minister Schauble had to admit Germany economy miracle is a fake. Traesury lacks Eur 1.1 trn and GDP is way overestimated. No chance at all for ECB rate hike.
Take care Eur bulls.
In Ireland election according to exit polls Fine Gael won 36.1 percent of first-preference votes
" seismic changes in the political landscape"
Fine Gael and Labour want a European agreement to lower the interest rate on the aid loans and share losses with senior bank bondholders. Oh a haircut. That is bad for Putin buddy Abramovic whose maximally intransparent financial holdings is a big stock holder in Irish bonds and Irish banks.
Mr Putin will double Gazprom prices Russian retaliation although Gazprom gas is 2.2 times more expensive than spot.
Take care Euro bulls. In march the party will be over.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 19:29
I trade commodities with CMC . CMC comes with a built in chart/candle pattern recognition .
And pattern alarms. Useless for fx but good for single values.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 19:20
I trade lean hogs, feeder cattle, corn, oats, wheat, sugar, orange juice, rough rice ,soybeans ,soyoil
with CFD . It can be rather profitable ... weather reports and forecasts is a must for this trading.
Also energy prices , inflation data.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 17:35
In Thread: EUR
Shane
small traders cannot move the market except at low liquidity. It is just low liquidity when smalltraders can take open positions and COT into account and trade accordingly. But at high volume these stops etc. melt down in a second. In the long run CBs and interbank trade of big players dominate fx and all of these are hedges. CBs mandate is to hedge and big players hedge as well in order to minimize value at risk.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 15:22
In Thread: EUR
i was really into CFD trading because these were safe bets ..oil companies long oil explorers long coal miners long ... couldn't go wrong . 50 to 100 leverage small lot sizes. What went wrong is long gasoline. But it will come back up.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 15:07
In Thread: EUR
yes why not ? it draws from capital but that isn't necessarily lost
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 15:01
In Thread: EUR
I am as posted short in EURUSD
USDCHF just reached tp 9315
no more positions fx
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Feb 25, 2011 14:53
In Thread: EUR
long USDCHF ... as said ( 100% chart free ) USD gets a boost from petrodollar , while Mubarak et al withdraw CHF accounts and buy USD ( not Euro they aren't that stupid)