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2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
2 Posts by member
catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
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catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 9, 2011 13:01
In Thread: EUR
No fundamentals never fail. If national banks re-capitalize cash strapped Ezone banks, it is first of all NOT PERMITTED by any Euro treaty. That aside , it shifts the liabilty away for the common currency to local taxpayers. This is just the opposite of the basic idea of Eurozone.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 9, 2011 10:46
In Thread: EUR
No need to worry . The charts contain all data also future data. That is the hard science of astrology. Unfortunately , using only financial mathematics and neither tealeafs nor coin flipping
it is as clear as possible Euro has no chance to survive.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 19:08
In Thread: Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
what is a forum w/o at least one troll? But given i am correct and credit tightening is on its way ( started in China) which currencies will be affected and how?
Imo inflation hawkish will be hit most while inflation dovish should be boosted.
BoE / GBP is a test of this thesis.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 18:23
In Thread: Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
I have POT (Can) and MOS (US) both pulled back today. I see this as a forerunner of credit tightening. I'll keep the stocks but don't buy. Rather I go short wheat and corn.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 17:10
In Thread: USD
USD short pos raise ... everyone US bearish ... time to buy USD future
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 15:37
In Thread: EUR
Weber said the ECB should also considering withdrawing its emergency liquidity measures for banks in the next few months. ROFL!

catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 15:28
In Thread: EUR
Weber is out of biz no one is intersted in his comments.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 12:37
In Thread: EUR
EUR relative strength down USD relative strength up continuous trend , consequently EUR loses vs USD to 139 not below
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 9:53
In Thread: EUR
I still agree with almost all fundamentally oriented economists that ECB economically cannot hike. rather a hike were dangerous if not desastrous because there is a big difference between US debt and EZone debt. Most of Ezone debt is amassed in portfolio of Ezone banks. Apparently Eur bulls fail to understand this. It is like arsoninists and firefighters are identical.
And besides hiking rate does not bring for ex. oil price down not even a cent. These are subject to mutually independent market variables.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Mar 8, 2011 8:16
In Thread: EUR
One scenario must be added. That is if the Lybia ME stuff recedes in one way or the other crude
could drop sharply and ECB, who cannot hike anyway, postpones the rate decision only emphasizing we are vigilant. Whenever I hear bullish comments from GS JPM MS on oil gold silver I start short positions. Btw. I do still wonder why the large proven oil reserves of Iraq remain widely untapped?
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