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Posts by "daveo"

8683 Posts Total by "daveo":
8171 Posts by member
DaveO
(N.Cornwall, United Kingdom)
512 Posts by Anonymous "daveo":
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 28, 2010 12:52
Hey comon guys, the last thing I read from Ashraf on the audusd was several trading days ago. "A CLOSE ABOVE PARITY WILL KILL THE H&S PATTERN"

Volume is low which makes it extremely easy for the "priviliged" trading teams to ensure that risk appetite prevails into the year end, especially in stocks. AUDUSD is a risk appetite animal ime. Likewise eurusd and gbpusd etc. The usdchf was highly likely to make new lows when it took out the 6th Dec pivot low @9725. Commodities also tend to move the risk appetite direction.

No surprises for me during the last few days (except china rate rise). Fading market direction is your choice but always carries high risk !

I suggest you take a look at the last 50 yrs and see how the santa rally almost always plays out. Bonuses is the key word my friends :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 23, 2010 15:55
Callum, yer on the right track with tracking SPX and ASX. Santa rally happens almost every year yet we have traders fading the audusd and hanging onto the defunct H&S when they should have been long or stood aside.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 22:00
Wrong again.

Why not stick with what you know and leave others to their preferred analysis of choice. If you dont like or agree with what Ashraf does with his tech analysis then go elsewhere. Some of the things you say reveal ignorance.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 21:39
Chloe, for me the break below left arm pit at 9650 messed the pattern. At that point it should have carried on down to make H&S target or at least make 9500. It reversed at 9536 leaving a very lopsided pattern to continue calling it an H&S still in progress and the fact that the move didnt even make 100% symmetry from the 22nd Nov high was potentially bullish for the reversal back up. Since then we get bogged down in low holiday volume.

As far as Ashraf commentary, I got the impression he is open minded awaiting a clear breach of potential double left shoulder being reproduced for right shoulder or else not exceeding a ClOSE above the parity left shoulder level. In other words if price fails right here and reverses back down he will say it completed a double right shoulder (or triple right shoulder). When things get this messy I forget about H&S pattern and rely on other signals :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 22, 2010 16:46
Overbought/oversold are relative terms. Its lagging well behind SPX but is is perhaps more china sensitive.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 21, 2010 16:00
All trading is likely to be scalpy until about the 10th Jan due to lower volume conditions. Now I may have spooked the markets and we get a wonderful crash :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 21, 2010 14:48
And our schools are forced to cater for 32 different cultures but its politically incorrect to have morning prayers for church of england. World gone barmy. No wonder our education system is always struggling.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 20, 2010 21:09
Chloe,I am very out of touch with Hotels up there, I been a country bumkin since retiring. I think ask Ashraf, he will know them. If I come myself I shall try to book the seminar venue for one night if they still have availability.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 20, 2010 18:30
In Thread: EUR
If you want to make a difference, vote for genetic modification to leaders. Get rid of corruption. Large corruption is no different to small corruption times xxxx. You do not make allowance for human nature. 50% of your euroland is bone idle and the other 50% practices corruption. You do not address the underlying problems. I would rather be tasked to keep an eye on uk law-makers and leaders than a larger machine, you keep an eye on germany. And btw, our laws now permit London and uk to be filled with religious maniacs, yes terrorists. EU law imposed upon UK has been a disaster. So EU law creates exported disasters and EU financial framework creates disasters for eurozone. Do you have anything good to offer me from your euroland catnip ?

I don't mean to get personal about this, I just think you are on a hiding to nothing with your idealistic dream.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 20, 2010 12:12
Ashraf, oops I see I was reading Ron Insana foreward. That makes a lot more sense, I couldn't see you as an american, more from an english public school education. Shame I know more about Ron Insana from your book than about you. Mind you I might have missed the real Ashraf but I am usually pretty good at guessing. One of the things I want to do over the holiday period is to finish the book beyond a quick skim. (and yes I caught pg 251 that tells me almost nothing about youuuu, the underlying structure of AL) Next edition should include !

Crystal Bowl, whether Ashraf trades himself or not is not terribly relevant because his calls for broad direction are already well proven valuable and it is not in his CMC remit to get involved in specific trade management. I can't imagine why he or anyone else should show you their personal accounts. Damned if I would, tantamount to an invitation for trouble. His workshop is on the back of a proven track record.