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Posts by "montmorency"

678 Posts Total by "montmorency":
604 Posts by member
montmorency
(Abingdon, United Kingdom)
74 Posts by Anonymous "montmorency":
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 20:04
As a certain revolutionary once said, if we don't hang together, we will assuredly hang separately :-)
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 18:51
I've commented elsewhere, but just to repeat, outstanding call. Thanks for this and everything else contributing to a great week Ashraf.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 18:47
In Thread: GBP
Personally I'm now flat GBP/USD for the weekend. We'll see what bounces we get after the open, and in Europe/NY sessions. Cable has been quite good to me today and this week. I'm not going to push it.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 18:30
Astonishing call. As a matter of interest, on the 1H chart, the 365 EMA appeared to provide (temporary?) support, right around Ashraf's preliminary target of 1.2760.

This pair is right out of my normal comfort zone, but I'm in (late, but in).

(12 pip spread on my platform).

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 17:33
Thanks Vik. New one on me :-) Well I'm so used to underwater positions, my feet are permanently soggy :-) (Low leverage helps prevent trench foot though :) ).
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 17:22
@Pip: I was originally going to short 1119 and my order missed.
Considered shorting at any point down to about 1115, but I missed my window.
As I write it's 1112.1. I think I'll sit it out and see what develops.
I suspect I won't be adding any positions before the close, and of course there may be news over the weekend, so we'll see how the open goes. I'd consider 1119 again, depending on price action if/when it gets there. However, if it looks like it is going to take off towards 1134 (see IMT at February 26, 2010 16:00 GMT), then I obviously need to think again!
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 16:31
In Thread: EUR
In the last week or more, I've been happily shorting every rally in EUR/JPY, and although sometimes I had to wait a long time, every one of them eventually came good, some of them for big pips.
However, all-time lows (or longish-time lows anyway) are out of my comfort zone, and since we got into this territory, I haven't been taking the risk, preferring to wait for the next big rally. I may be wrong of course ... :-)

Yes, GBP _must_ be in a bad way ... look how well the Euro has been doing against it in the last few days....more so than against the USD I would say. Personally I'm happy to see the rallies in EUR/USD, which I am happily shorting. I still have 1.32 in my sights, or at least back to 1.34 again.


@AVG: Why is USD losing its momentum? (Well, not against the GBP it isn't, not really). Well, as others have said, it is probably people re-discovering risk appetite (or people being encouraged by the pundits to re-discover it Personally I think we are looking at a stock-market crash, or at least a bear market. It is only a question of when. But that's just my personal opinion. That should be USD-positive, but it might also end up being gold-positive as well. (Just another opinion).
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 16:05
@Himo: It's not for me to say. As Ashraf would say, I don't know your capacity for risk, etc.
However, in the intervening time, as you will see, we've had a bounce up to 1118 or so, followed by a fall to 1114-15. So if you are still wanting to short, you've got a better price now than earlier.

I have earlier shorts lower down still, and am still considering whether to add at this point or wait and see.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 15:59
I had an order in for 1119.1 . It missed by about 5 pips. 1115.5 as I type.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Feb 26, 2010 13:04
@Karan: You aren't alone! :)