Personally I'm now flat GBP/USD for the weekend. We'll see what bounces we get after the open, and in Europe/NY sessions. Cable has been quite good to me today and this week. I'm not going to push it.
Astonishing call. As a matter of interest, on the 1H chart, the 365 EMA appeared to provide (temporary?) support, right around Ashraf's preliminary target of 1.2760.
This pair is right out of my normal comfort zone, but I'm in (late, but in).
Thanks Vik. New one on me :-) Well I'm so used to underwater positions, my feet are permanently soggy :-) (Low leverage helps prevent trench foot though :) ).
@Pip: I was originally going to short 1119 and my order missed. Considered shorting at any point down to about 1115, but I missed my window. As I write it's 1112.1. I think I'll sit it out and see what develops. I suspect I won't be adding any positions before the close, and of course there may be news over the weekend, so we'll see how the open goes. I'd consider 1119 again, depending on price action if/when it gets there. However, if it looks like it is going to take off towards 1134 (see IMT at February 26, 2010 16:00 GMT), then I obviously need to think again!
In the last week or more, I've been happily shorting every rally in EUR/JPY, and although sometimes I had to wait a long time, every one of them eventually came good, some of them for big pips. However, all-time lows (or longish-time lows anyway) are out of my comfort zone, and since we got into this territory, I haven't been taking the risk, preferring to wait for the next big rally. I may be wrong of course ... :-)
Yes, GBP _must_ be in a bad way ... look how well the Euro has been doing against it in the last few days....more so than against the USD I would say. Personally I'm happy to see the rallies in EUR/USD, which I am happily shorting. I still have 1.32 in my sights, or at least back to 1.34 again.
@AVG: Why is USD losing its momentum? (Well, not against the GBP it isn't, not really). Well, as others have said, it is probably people re-discovering risk appetite (or people being encouraged by the pundits to re-discover it Personally I think we are looking at a stock-market crash, or at least a bear market. It is only a question of when. But that's just my personal opinion. That should be USD-positive, but it might also end up being gold-positive as well. (Just another opinion).
@Himo: It's not for me to say. As Ashraf would say, I don't know your capacity for risk, etc. However, in the intervening time, as you will see, we've had a bounce up to 1118 or so, followed by a fall to 1114-15. So if you are still wanting to short, you've got a better price now than earlier.
I have earlier shorts lower down still, and am still considering whether to add at this point or wait and see.
Try publishing this in the UK weekend papers: Traders bet BankofEngland will raise rates to 6.25% --highest since 1… https://t.co/GWXrTEAk4R(1 year ago)
Poor start to a slow market day as Ezone PMIs disappoint. Im still keeping an eye on the rare (-2%) USD-GOLD combo,… https://t.co/UyRzWsRbs7(1 year ago)
-5% YTD is not good, while -7% from the year highs can be tough. Gold traders have their eyes fixated on this for n… https://t.co/NV5UMKsfNo(1 year ago)
ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2
@XM_COM (1 year ago)
Jobless claims > 300k before next FOMC meeting would be ideal for Fed to make up for any CPI upside surprise (1 year ago)
"Cook & Eat at Home" scheme may come next to defeat UK inflation... (1 year ago)
Earlier in the week gold selloff was attributed to smaller than exp China EASING. Metal is now holding v well despi… https://t.co/ZW9cmXTPWW(1 year ago)
This pair is right out of my normal comfort zone, but I'm in (late, but in).
(12 pip spread on my platform).
Considered shorting at any point down to about 1115, but I missed my window.
As I write it's 1112.1. I think I'll sit it out and see what develops.
I suspect I won't be adding any positions before the close, and of course there may be news over the weekend, so we'll see how the open goes. I'd consider 1119 again, depending on price action if/when it gets there. However, if it looks like it is going to take off towards 1134 (see IMT at February 26, 2010 16:00 GMT), then I obviously need to think again!
However, all-time lows (or longish-time lows anyway) are out of my comfort zone, and since we got into this territory, I haven't been taking the risk, preferring to wait for the next big rally. I may be wrong of course ... :-)
Yes, GBP _must_ be in a bad way ... look how well the Euro has been doing against it in the last few days....more so than against the USD I would say. Personally I'm happy to see the rallies in EUR/USD, which I am happily shorting. I still have 1.32 in my sights, or at least back to 1.34 again.
@AVG: Why is USD losing its momentum? (Well, not against the GBP it isn't, not really). Well, as others have said, it is probably people re-discovering risk appetite (or people being encouraged by the pundits to re-discover it Personally I think we are looking at a stock-market crash, or at least a bear market. It is only a question of when. But that's just my personal opinion. That should be USD-positive, but it might also end up being gold-positive as well. (Just another opinion).
However, in the intervening time, as you will see, we've had a bounce up to 1118 or so, followed by a fall to 1114-15. So if you are still wanting to short, you've got a better price now than earlier.
I have earlier shorts lower down still, and am still considering whether to add at this point or wait and see.