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Posts by "nzvik"

263 Posts Total by "nzvik":
225 Posts by member
nzvik
(Auckland, New Zealand)
38 Posts by Anonymous "nzvik":
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 10, 2009 0:00
GT - that is very bullish

on the NYSE the internals were as below

Up Volume 1160 m
Down volume 63 M
Advancers 2546
Decliners 495
New highs 213
New Lows 1

If you divide up volume by advancers you will get 0.45 M- i.e. on an average each advancing stock was traded for 0.45M in volume. If you divide down volume by decliners you get 0.12m only. Therefore advancing stocks were traded nearly 4 times more in volume than declining stocks - that is about as bullish as it gets.
Google ARMs Index (trin) and other internals like A/D breadth and line etc. to gauge internal strength of the market.
I beleive GBP will go to 1.7 - but that is the trickiest one to call as GBP has a number of times decoupled from the risk rallies.



nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 9, 2009 22:13
correction EUR should head to 1.52 - not 1.6
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 9, 2009 21:10
here we go again
EURUSD heading to 1.6
USDCAD to 1.03
GBP to 1.7
AUD to 0.94
NZD to 0.76

S&P to 1150

all in the next 2 weeks

nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 6, 2009 10:00

should be over 1200 by year end - has momentum, central banks will look to buy as the Fed does not show any inclination to raise rates and the dollar continues to devalue

nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 3, 2009 7:12
Ashraf,

Do you see the down trend intact in USDCAD or do you see a break upwards

thanks
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 2, 2009 22:32
Radu,

See chart - GBPUSD will breakout this week one way or either from this triangle like formation - whether it will be a strong move I can't say - will depend on equities and more importantly on the BOE cash rate decision.

Check this link outhttp://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

u can see when the rate decision will be. Within a minute of the release u can refresh and will see a green disc which if you click will give you the number normally within 15 to 20 seconds of the release

this calendar can help you keep track of all announcements, u can change the time zone to your own as well as filter the results in terms of potential impact and which currency u want to track. also you can read details of the release and how they could impact the currency as well as see a graph of the last couple of years data related to the release.
Good Luck
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Nov 2, 2009 22:12
Raj

In my opinion H&S patterns perform better on daily and weekly charts. However, on your 5 hr chart I can see a clear down trend.

Good Luck
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Oct 29, 2009 22:30
this chart is self-explanatory. u can see what's rallying
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Oct 29, 2009 19:56
as I have been saying for sometime- cable and its crosses are highly volatile and unpredictable - not for amateurs like me to play with. will wait till it settles.

bias remains bullish - however break above 1.6730 will confirm.

aussie and euro could reclaim .93 and 1.5 in the next day or two
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
15 years ago
Oct 28, 2009 17:49
Radu

Staying away from GBP crosses for the time being