It's gapped up three times already in two hours. guess the world's problems are solved by a country (Australia) whom has been known in the past two post "inconsistent" numbers to support their currency.
Chloe-the usd/cad pair trades on sentimen, and oil prices. Clearly, the global economic recovery, save China, is not what equity analysts made it out to be in order to move stocks higher. And now that the largest bastion of growth, China, is tightening things up to slow things down, what do you think that will do to the price pressures on oil?
Exactly, consolidate the 82-73 move, then move lower. Lower is positive for usd/cad pair.
However, the one caveat is the economy/deficit of Canada is in better shape that the U.S., but this is more of a medium to long term story.
In the short term, usd/cad will move with oil, and what would cause oil to go up? Not lower stck prices and tightening in China.
Chloe, remember-things change quickly in the fOREX world. Again, back to eur/gbp. Eur is only up because of the 125 pips GOLDman Sachs has bid up eur/gbp in anticipation of the Summit. They are frontrunning euro leading into an event, as they frontran sterling into the now famous, "BUY at 1.6450" report the released just three weeks ago.
So euro remains bid, while sterling has a soft tone to it.
Chloe, I gave you my plan. Calm down, you are "chasing" trades which is a tough way to go.
When get frustrated, what I do is refrain from placing market orders as these are usually done on emotion (chasing). Try getting a way for a few hours, using only limits and stops. This cuts out the emotion.
Also, read the "tea leaves" as to what Ashraf is saying. Like my eur/gbp position. Both currencies are trash, however one has to be worse than the other, lol. Goldman Sachs has been bidding eur/gbp all week to frontrun the Summit they knew about before mostothers knew. I can only suspect eur.gbp will remain bid until up-to the Summut, then it will reverse as the eur gets sold again.
Regarding usd/cad, it will get to 1.08 and north of that. I will go long my first units immeiately after 5 pm NYT, and put in some open orders to go long at 1.0577 and 1.0542 also. I am hoping GOLDman Sachs dies theirthing and goose the spoos to run eur and aussie higher, driving usd.cad lower.
BTW, listen to Ashraf's latest youtube. He talks of additional tightening from the Chinese. This will adversely effect gold, aussie, kiwi and cad, and may be the catalyst we are looking for in usd.cad.
Chloe-I actually closed my long usd/cad position at 1.0697. I had an order to reopen at 1.0618 which would have been filled had I not cancelled it by accident, lol.
I don;t like to establish new positions this close to the US equity close (1-1/2 hours), especially shorting any of the "carry trade" pairs as today (Wednesday in No America) there is a three-day rollover interest rate differential premium at 5 pm NYT and the aussie et al have been known to run up leading into this.
I am basically flat except for a small short position in eur.gbp (which is underwater). I am waiting for the reults from tomorrows Summit before I open new positions.
Since I do not monitor FX 24 hours a day, I have placing sell orders for euro, aussie and gold just below yesterday's highs for those pairs and gold.
@asad-my VIX forecast is based on historical moves and VIX peaks based on past market selloffs.
BTW, i see where GOLDman Sachs comes out TODAY and states Greece deficit 16% of GDP, and claims there were "stunning" revisions to deficit in December.
GS is full of you know what-they are the ones who helped Greece hide it all: www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,676634,00.html
They are trying to wash their hands of their deceiptful activity and mess they created, all for their exceedingly high commissions they ripped off the Greece banks for.
After bidding eur/gbp for four straight days. it is time for GS to offer it again.
Try publishing this in the UK weekend papers: Traders bet BankofEngland will raise rates to 6.25% --highest since 1… https://t.co/GWXrTEAk4R(1 year ago)
Poor start to a slow market day as Ezone PMIs disappoint. Im still keeping an eye on the rare (-2%) USD-GOLD combo,… https://t.co/UyRzWsRbs7(1 year ago)
-5% YTD is not good, while -7% from the year highs can be tough. Gold traders have their eyes fixated on this for n… https://t.co/NV5UMKsfNo(1 year ago)
ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2
@XM_COM (1 year ago)
Jobless claims > 300k before next FOMC meeting would be ideal for Fed to make up for any CPI upside surprise (1 year ago)
"Cook & Eat at Home" scheme may come next to defeat UK inflation... (1 year ago)
Earlier in the week gold selloff was attributed to smaller than exp China EASING. Metal is now holding v well despi… https://t.co/ZW9cmXTPWW(1 year ago)
If things were as good as the Aussie's want you to believe, usd/jpy would be screaming higher. Yet it trades at session lows.
Picked up first lots of usd/cad at 1.0581, with bids layered down to 1.0523.
I'm taking advantage over the euphoria of the Aussie cookd numbers. Reality will set in shortly (within 1-3 days).
It's gapped up three times already in two hours. guess the world's problems are solved by a country (Australia) whom has been known in the past two post "inconsistent" numbers to support their currency.
What a shorting opportunity on Aussie!
Exactly, consolidate the 82-73 move, then move lower. Lower is positive for usd/cad pair.
However, the one caveat is the economy/deficit of Canada is in better shape that the U.S., but this is more of a medium to long term story.
In the short term, usd/cad will move with oil, and what would cause oil to go up? Not lower stck prices and tightening in China.
So euro remains bid, while sterling has a soft tone to it.
Remember, things change quickly..
When get frustrated, what I do is refrain from placing market orders as these are usually done on emotion (chasing). Try getting a way for a few hours, using only limits and stops. This cuts out the emotion.
Also, read the "tea leaves" as to what Ashraf is saying. Like my eur/gbp position. Both currencies are trash, however one has to be worse than the other, lol. Goldman Sachs has been bidding eur/gbp all week to frontrun the Summit they knew about before mostothers knew. I can only suspect eur.gbp will remain bid until up-to the Summut, then it will reverse as the eur gets sold again.
BTW, listen to Ashraf's latest youtube. He talks of additional tightening from the Chinese. This will adversely effect gold, aussie, kiwi and cad, and may be the catalyst we are looking for in usd.cad.
I don;t like to establish new positions this close to the US equity close (1-1/2 hours), especially shorting any of the "carry trade" pairs as today (Wednesday in No America) there is a three-day rollover interest rate differential premium at 5 pm NYT and the aussie et al have been known to run up leading into this.
I am basically flat except for a small short position in eur.gbp (which is underwater). I am waiting for the reults from tomorrows Summit before I open new positions.
Since I do not monitor FX 24 hours a day, I have placing sell orders for euro, aussie and gold just below yesterday's highs for those pairs and gold.
@asad-my VIX forecast is based on historical moves and VIX peaks based on past market selloffs.
BTW, i see where GOLDman Sachs comes out TODAY and states Greece deficit 16% of GDP, and claims there were "stunning" revisions to deficit in December.
GS is full of you know what-they are the ones who helped Greece hide it all: www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,676634,00.html
They are trying to wash their hands of their deceiptful activity and mess they created, all for their exceedingly high commissions they ripped off the Greece banks for.
After bidding eur/gbp for four straight days. it is time for GS to offer it again.
Vix 39
Oil 64
by mid-March