spec absolutely agree with you but gold like other commodities are cyclical and its cycle last 20 years. the new bull cycle started in 1998 2000 as u can see it on chart DOW/GOLD. if that gives a sell signal for gold i do trust but let's not forget that the gold cylce has 12 yaers left. as for retail investor they r always thte last to catch the train nad most of the time they call a top, as it is in this case. The volume are down in the dow even if it goes higher. the mba application are partly driven by refinancing loans if i dont mistake and i think that this coupleed with the fact that toxic asset case hasn't solved will give a W shape recovery with another leg down of 2500 points at max. inflation is not at sight excepted for medium term and mainly driven by money printing and surge in oil prices ( chasing value in currency downtend)( i forecast a forty dollar barrel by year end ) due to the fact that level of titrisation are not there. banks dont lend to each other even if the libor ois rate spread shows. they are building up their capital reserves.
spec the us an uk are probabably havng some QE in november so its common sense to be prudent in this environment . the only thing i see is that we r heading lower in the dow when it will reach its fib retracement around 10000. hte six months bull rally is gona be erased in a shorter period and thats why iam personnaly advising qin to play th els t leg till it drops
qin the way do u know means "hi qin" or "hai shin" in chinese. trust in hte sea or ttrust in the money so go long hte dow jones with real money and ull see where ull finish...with gains.
qin trader lost their positions for thirty percent of their total. so let's all appreciate the free comment and advice knowing that an adisory firm would charge us for leading us ....on some wrong paths.
ashraf as i see on cmc charts one year nad one month, i noticed that the fib retracement of 38 has reached passed and the dow has bounced back to 9398. the corresponding level in one months chart shoxws me a retracement of 38 pecent . we had a hundred percent retracement on the one months chart and that shows us a new trend if iam correct. i think the market will hold to 9770 with a minina bounce back to the median line and the market according to fib rule is heading to the 50percent retracement ie 10300 points for us30. as we had a deep corrective wave2 the fourth one will be flat. tell me if i am a bit correct.
ashraf does yosana last call on saying yen move unacceptable show that this gvt is gonna follow the path of former gvt in letting the yen weakening and having market intervention?
ashraf superb article do u think we are heading to a argentiers payback over the next months years if 1.37 is support then a break down to this level will confirm a down trend that can push the dolar at 1.20 i know it is not a day trader attitude but that will allow me to complement some understanding on money flow thanks
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ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
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كيف تنخفض نسبة التضخم في بيتكوين تحت نسبة تضخم الذهب و ما يعني "صلابة" بيتكوين كعملة او إرادة؟
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do u think the gbpchf wil touch 1.6602 before bouncing back due to market intervention.
absolutely agree with you
but gold like other commodities are cyclical and its cycle last 20 years. the new bull cycle started in 1998 2000 as u can see it on chart DOW/GOLD. if that gives a sell signal for gold i do trust but let's not forget that the gold cylce has 12 yaers left.
as for retail investor they r always thte last to catch the train nad most of the time they call a top, as it is in this case. The volume are down in the dow even if it goes higher.
the mba application are partly driven by refinancing loans if i dont mistake and i think that this coupleed with the fact that toxic asset case hasn't solved will give a W shape recovery with another leg down of 2500 points at max.
inflation is not at sight excepted for medium term and mainly driven by money printing and surge in oil prices ( chasing value in currency downtend)( i forecast a forty dollar barrel by year end ) due to the fact that level of titrisation are not there. banks dont lend to each other even if the libor ois rate spread shows. they are building up their capital reserves.
all the best
the us an uk are probabably havng some QE in november so its common sense to be prudent in this environment . the only thing i see is that we r heading lower in the dow when it will reach its fib retracement around 10000. hte six months bull rally is gona be erased in a shorter period and thats why iam personnaly advising qin to play th els t leg till it drops
do u know means "hi qin" or "hai shin" in chinese. trust in hte sea or ttrust in the money
so go long hte dow jones with real money and ull see where ull finish...with gains.
trader lost their positions for thirty percent of their total.
so let's all appreciate the free comment and advice knowing that an adisory firm would charge us for leading us ....on some wrong paths.
as i see on cmc charts one year nad one month, i noticed that the fib retracement of 38 has reached passed and the dow has bounced back to 9398. the corresponding level in one months chart shoxws me a retracement of 38 pecent . we had a hundred percent retracement on the one months chart and that shows us a new trend if iam correct.
i think the market will hold to 9770 with a minina bounce back to the median line and the market according to fib rule is heading to the 50percent retracement ie 10300 points for us30.
as we had a deep corrective wave2 the fourth one will be flat.
tell me if i am a bit correct.
does yosana last call on saying yen move unacceptable show that this gvt is gonna follow the path of former gvt in letting the yen weakening and having market intervention?
CARRY TRADE IN USD IS THE ONLY CUURENCY ABLE FOR TEH MOMENT TO ALLOW INVESTMENT IN HIGHER YIELDING ASSET AS WE SEE YEN STRENGHNING
superb article
do u think we are heading to a argentiers payback over the next months years
if 1.37 is support then a break down to this level will confirm a down trend that can push the dolar at 1.20
i know it is not a day trader attitude but that will allow me to complement some understanding on money flow
thanks