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Posts by "speculator"

804 Posts Total by "speculator":
22 Posts by member
SPECULATOR
(LONDON, United Kingdom)
782 Posts by Anonymous "speculator":
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 15:36
ashraf,

cable did indeed fall off a cliff today.

well done!
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 15:32
stubbs what technical analysis are you using for this evidence?
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 14:23
ashraf, im not a trader (yet)
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 14:06
hsbc bank will be increasing its 2,3 and 5 year fixed mortgage rates in the UK in july after its competitors had already started hiking. medium term rates going up will put pressure on house price in the uk for the next few quarters. it is no suprise demand went up recently as fixed rates reached historic lows here. i expect uk housing to drop down gradually after the summer period - another bearish factor for the pound in the coming quarters.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 12:55
yes but figures worse that 4casted mate = negative surprise = sell off of pound
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 12:44
14 raj did u check out UK GDP figures released morning.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 12:11
yes, and very bad new out for uk gdp today. but government propoganda and bulls will still try to convince that it will be rosey soon.

ashraf, there is far more downside on cable than upside for the immediate future. i would short now
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 12:07
may i add, we are being mentally brainwashed that a recovery is near and things will start to improve. yes..well GDP may start to not contract but that means nothing.

whilst we have an increase in money supply and more measures for protection, we may not enter a depression but a very long recession where employment and consumption will remain very weak for a long period to come. mainly because the us will have to change its way and therefore global demand will remain weak. something unusual will need to happen eg war (hopefully not) or an invention to increase demand.

we are currently at an uncertain and manipulated times where corruption is still very much in force some way or another.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 12:00
its really quite simple guys, INVESTORS ARE NOT RATIONAL A LOT of the time.

They over react much of the time. Furthermore, herding is very strong in this market as lots of investors have no clue about the future but want to make some quite bucks so go with the flow. this extrapolates trends which brings us to over-shooting and under-shooting. I personally feel that much of the pairs eg eurdollar has overshot due to investors herding and not for the reason of yield differential.

david bloom global head of fx, hsbc would agree with me here 100%!
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jun 30, 2009 11:40
support not resistance