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782 Posts by Anonymous "speculator":
cable did indeed fall off a cliff today.
well done!
ashraf, there is far more downside on cable than upside for the immediate future. i would short now
whilst we have an increase in money supply and more measures for protection, we may not enter a depression but a very long recession where employment and consumption will remain very weak for a long period to come. mainly because the us will have to change its way and therefore global demand will remain weak. something unusual will need to happen eg war (hopefully not) or an invention to increase demand.
we are currently at an uncertain and manipulated times where corruption is still very much in force some way or another.
They over react much of the time. Furthermore, herding is very strong in this market as lots of investors have no clue about the future but want to make some quite bucks so go with the flow. this extrapolates trends which brings us to over-shooting and under-shooting. I personally feel that much of the pairs eg eurdollar has overshot due to investors herding and not for the reason of yield differential.
david bloom global head of fx, hsbc would agree with me here 100%!