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Posts by "speculator"
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Posts Total by "speculator":
782 Posts by Anonymous "speculator":
thanks
i do respect your views highly.
but im affraid i think 1.75 is highly unlikely this year as i believe:
us government yield spreads against uk will increased attracting dollar flows
uk housing market data will worsen after a summer temporary jump
us is in better political shape than uk
uk/us stocks will fall at least 10% from here attracting flight to us dollar safety
we are in a dollar bear market rally. the bear market started early 2000
europe will underperform us economy
foreigners will not abandon us assets for a long time
however, i understand there is abnormally wide range of 4casts out there especially against eur/dollar but i think dollar will start to climb higher against euro and pound.
thanks
THE LINK above shows recent speculative positions with the dollar.
seems like euro is being less bullish this week
pound more bullish ( still net short)
yeh bearish
canadian bullish