ashraf, just trying to get clarity on this... yesterday you put a comment out saying you dont think we see 1.39 on euro on the EUR forum. but your IMT just stated a 70% chance of seeing $1.40 next week. whats exactly is the call here? regards
ashraf, happy new year. what are your thoughts on AUD now that its broken 102? you said on twitter you thought we would see 97 again. is that still the case? are you still bearish euro too given its just hit 134?
i'm hoping my comments are not lost amongst the multiple posts before you read and reply.
ashraf, aud right shoulder negated for sure now? china rake hike has certainly not seen aud sell off 2%, if anything, its risen 2%. do you still think we see 97? appreciate your thoughts
ashraf, aud right shoulder negated for sure now? china rake hike has certainly not seen aud sell off 2%, if anything, its risen 2%. do you still think we see 97? appreciate your thoughts
ashraf, where do you see the euro in 3 months timeframe? are you expecting bullishness to continue to over 1.40 or do you see a retreat to 1.27 as previously stated?
ashraf, 4 weeks ago (3rd Aug), i asked you if the goalposts had changed with regards to your euro call for 117. your response was: "sub, i havent moved the goal posts. back in May i was calling for 1.15, then in end of June i called for an immediate target of 1.17 and we missed that by some 50 pips. Now i call the euro rally to dissipate at around 1.33. when i say theres 70% chance for 1.2770 by end of Q4, it means that thers a strong chance we would have hit 1.2770 by end of Q4 and NOT that necessarily it will BE there at end of Q4. look for risk aversion and soverign concern to re-escalate in early Q4 that will take down EUR back to below 1.20. This euro rebound has especially been boosted by the negative US data and resulting Fed rehtoric"
good call on euro - we hit that 12770. but do you still see risk aversion and sovereign concern causing eur falling back to below 1.20 in Q4? i noticed you recently said chances of 117 are diminishing.
ashraf, have you now thrown in the towel on 117 for euro? you say 70% chance of 12770 by end of Q4. Does that mean the goalposts have changed by 10 big figures? Good call on 13250, but how much higher from here in your opinion?
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just trying to get clarity on this...
yesterday you put a comment out saying you dont think we see 1.39 on euro on the EUR forum.
but your IMT just stated a 70% chance of seeing $1.40 next week.
whats exactly is the call here?
regards
happy new year.
what are your thoughts on AUD now that its broken 102?
you said on twitter you thought we would see 97 again.
is that still the case?
are you still bearish euro too given its just hit 134?
i'm hoping my comments are not lost amongst the multiple posts before you read and reply.
regards
aud right shoulder negated for sure now? china rake hike has certainly not seen aud sell off 2%, if anything, its risen 2%. do you still think we see 97?
appreciate your thoughts
sub
aud right shoulder negated for sure now? china rake hike has certainly not seen aud sell off 2%, if anything, its risen 2%. do you still think we see 97?
appreciate your thoughts
sub
USDCHF not the only call not looking good. The sterling hotchart seems pretty cold!
Cable nearly hitting 163. A far distant from your 153.
Do you still see dollar strength emerging?
sub
where do you see the euro in 3 months timeframe?
are you expecting bullishness to continue to over 1.40 or do you see a retreat to 1.27 as previously stated?
regards
i asked before but it seems comments get lost here due to the volume of comments / conversation on the thread.
do you think we'll see 125 on euro in Q4?
do you still see euro heading back down to 1.23 in Q4 as previously stated?
regards
4 weeks ago (3rd Aug), i asked you if the goalposts had changed with regards to your euro call for 117.
your response was:
"sub, i havent moved the goal posts. back in May i was calling for 1.15, then in end of June i called for an immediate target of 1.17 and we missed that by some 50 pips. Now i call the euro rally to dissipate at around 1.33. when i say theres 70% chance for 1.2770 by end of Q4, it means that thers a strong chance we would have hit 1.2770 by end of Q4 and NOT that necessarily it will BE there at end of Q4. look for risk aversion and soverign concern to re-escalate in early Q4 that will take down EUR back to below 1.20. This euro rebound has especially been boosted by the negative US data and resulting Fed rehtoric"
good call on euro - we hit that 12770. but do you still see risk aversion and sovereign concern causing eur falling back to below 1.20 in Q4? i noticed you recently said chances of 117 are diminishing.
regards
have you now thrown in the towel on 117 for euro? you say 70% chance of 12770 by end of Q4. Does that mean the goalposts have changed by 10 big figures?
Good call on 13250, but how much higher from here in your opinion?