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Posts by "xaron"
548 Posts Total by "xaron":
20
Posts by Anonymous "xaron":
"Even according to the White House's new budget projections, the gross federal debt in public hands will exceed 100 per cent of GDP in just two years' time. This year, like last year, the federal deficit will be around 10 per cent of GDP. The long-run projections of the Congressional Budget Office suggest that the US will never again run a balanced budget. Thats right, never."
( from: Niall Ferguson: A Greek crisis is coming to America -http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f90bca10-1679-11df-bf44-00144feab4
9a.html )
What do you mean with Euro going down but Aussie not? Do you refer to that 30 pips noise in the Euro?
The Aussie will go above parity sooner or later, not only because of its strong fundamentals but because of the days of the Dollar are over (well, actually that may take some years... :D )
"Did a bit of research for you and .... Calif's economy is about $1.6 Trillion (as of Jan 2007), according to US Dept of Commerce. US economy, according to CIA fact book, is about $14.25 trillion on 2009 estimates.
Thus, Calif is about 11% of the US economy - roughly speaking, given that the dates are slightly mismatched, and who knows how accurate these Gov't organizations are.
But any event, it's clearly much bigger than Greece's impact on the EU."
So... California, which I would consider to be bankrupt, I mean for crying out loud, the state sent IOU's to people last year instead of cash for their tax returns, is 11% of the U.S. problem... But we have to add to that, the research we went through above... The states of New York, Michigan, Illinois, and so on! This is a debt debacle folks!
Now... I'm not saying that the PIGS problem isn't a big deal... It is! But bigger than the U.S. problem? NO!
So... The dollar should not be rewarded... And neither should the euro... But the problem here is that these are the two most liquid currencies in the world... So, the normal trade is the sell one, and buy the other, as they are the offset currencies to each other... So... I would think that you would take the lesser of two evils, don't you?"