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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 19:40
Mauldin:
For the euro to survive, one of two things must happen. Either the Germans (and the Dutch and Finns and French) decide to back the concept of some sort of eurobond financing of the balance sheets of the peripheral countries, OR there need to be massive write-downs of insolvent-country debt and the various countries need to backstop their banks, because bank losses will be massive.

The latter is the topic of the afore mentioned leaked top confidential strategic plan.
On a rough caculation Eurobonds are cheaper.
GMB post
India
Posts: 4
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 17:44
MS Analysis from capital3x http://capital3x.com/?p=219
GMB post
India
Posts: 4
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 17:43
This is the trade that got me interested in their analysis:

They shorted MS on Aug 1 and they have netted 27% in August alone.
http://capital3x.com/?p=224
http://capital3x.com/?p=278
GMB post
India
Posts: 4
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 17:40
Has somebody got access to this site? http://capital3x.com/?p=317

They post some free charts and I believe are very good indepth analysis similar to what Ashraf has been putting though they rely more on Mathematics parameters to arrive at their trades.

ON their About US page they say they are ex PIMCO traders?

Here are some other trades that they have done in past:
MS,GS BAC trades:http://capital3x.com/?p=278

They have initiated an apple trade: http://capital3x.com/?p=243
http://capital3x.com/?p=325

chloethebull
halifax, Canada
Posts: 1183
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 13:03
i managed to get a long position yesterday but missed the bottom of eur$14330:( my entry was @14360 and my exit was a bit early @14431-618(1hr) then started to short it once it was close to my 786-14453-short again @144856-127.2(retr) an have another short@127.2-14515(expa level)+161.8(retr level).plus on my 4hr14531=127.2expan level)so lots of short term resisbut having the eur close the week strong i think were goin to test atlest 14515-14531 area, only trading small blocks average price on eur$14462x3..ok gl guys:)
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 10:15
The Spiegel reported little on the leaked top confidential plan but said if the plan is established its the final axe on the Euro coffin, as the final nail is already driven in.
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 5:28
bummer.. and i missed all this excitement all together.. looks like few might have been whacked hard by those 1h candles, eh?.. its range trading on steroids.. obviously big boys are doing it now.. so lone ranger.. it might time to look for another trading method and new nic..:-)
sydneyjames
Sydney, Australia
Posts: 348
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 3:02
damnnn, wake up in the morning and ifound i got taken out...lame, but its all the part of the game i guess.
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
13 years ago
Aug 27, 2011 1:10
You should tell Alaidi this.... The one that told me he didn't see a big decline in CHF/NOK when it was at 7.4-----and EUR/CHF at around 1.08.....
Told me to short EUR instead. Thanks to him, I lost 200.000 NOK and more to come probably.
How is his EUR/USD short going now? Huh? Still rising, I guess...

Never listen to this guy when it comes to risk currencies.
And how the hell can you talk about the NOK as risk currency? Huh? When the JPY/NOK was at around 7.56 last autumn, the stock market had tumbled worse.... how is it now? Around 7.00-----
And how about the USD/NOK that only have been declining..... how is it now? Last summer 6.7 now it is around 5.4.
Short the hell out of the "safe haven" currencies...that is my opinion... Go NOK! And do not ask Ashraf for his super loooong trading ideas.... anyone can be right if they set a target without any timeframe.....
This is all bullshit and lotto.....
:(

cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Aug 26, 2011 18:53
this volatility is hard to trade....don't think its over...stay out. Suppose Wall st is almost empty
BUT DR.Ben uttered FED is not allmighty then USDx fell hard...but why EURx up?
My guess is emergency exits from CHF . Well EUR is not a safe haven. EURCHF will reverse, I started a short option @1.1702 that gets knocked out @1.19