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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
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Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 17:24
i think cat meant econ model has nothing to do with predict crash but the value at risk of credit does.
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 16:37
good question apparently S&P tracks EPS but EPS can be easily prepped up ...see China...just like banks stress test...so what is the economy model? Dunno...Best approach the value at risk of
credit...credit has not much to do with economy
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 14:55
In reply to Qingyu's post
thank you my good friend !
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 14:55
In reply to cat0nip's post
cat, my english killed me in my last comment.

anyway, i use my own rational system. :P
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 14:53
dave, check email for pdf. :D
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 14:42
In reply to cat0nip's post
wonderful all these little to very big Merkel flags all over London... should be bans not banners ...
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 14:41
In reply to Qingyu's post
No...systems theory has the object "structure" and complexity is a measure of structure properties. The trick Sornette uses is that
structure is the totality of relations which are invariant to a class of transformations. So instability arises with transformation to which the structure total market is not invariant.
Simple isn't it?
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 13:59
systems theory looks like chaos theory, but they r different cus chaos theory is just abstraction or superficies of systems theory.
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 13:55
In reply to cat0nip's post
he try to understand and research things in whole (system), but not like economist used to be (separate in several basis).
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
11 years ago
May 6, 2013 13:17
Today London celebrates Merkel day...consequently only erratic moves except AUD down. Wait for CAD data
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