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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
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rim
Turkey
Posts: 121
14 years ago
Sep 6, 2010 13:15
Dear Ashraf ,

If you think BOE hike the rate , then GBP will inrease?

If yes , then at which price you advise to buy GBP accurately?

Thanks a lot.
Qiman
United States
Posts: 237
14 years ago
Sep 5, 2010 1:19
"I don't think rates will start rising until the first quarter of 2012, but when they do, I think they will go up at a fairly chunky pace," said Alan Clarke, economist at BNP Paribas.

Mr Clarke is forecasting a rise of two percentage points overall in 2012, which would take rates up to 2.5pc by the end of that year.

Sir John Gieve, the former Bank of England deputy governor, said last month that he expected interest rates to rise at a quicker pace.

"I am expecting a recovery when that is strongly established I'd expect rates to start rising faster than the market currently expects. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see interest rates at 2.5pc a year from now," he said.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/7982303/Warning-of-sharp-interest-rate-rise-in-2012.html
said
France
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Sep 4, 2010 23:50
cable GU
mrhayat fel las
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Sep 4, 2010 16:43
twigins, BoE expects inflation to start slowing down as it has done so over the past 2 months. Sentance wants to raise rates as he tinks inflation will go higher but BoE says money supply growth is weak, wage growth is stable and austerity policies will drive inflation DOWN not up.

Ashraf
Twigins
Calgary, Canada
Posts: 2
14 years ago
Sep 4, 2010 5:08
Ashraf, viewed your video. If England is experiencing inflation =ɮ%, why would they risk pushing it higher by lowering their purchasing power (devaluing their currency). Unless the expect further deflation in the products they import? Heading into winter, food and energy costs will rise. Any risk of public backlash to the beaurocrats and government in raising the inflation?

Also, since not increasing their net balance sheet, replacing interest bearing bonds with others .. why does the marketplace feel this would devlaue the Stirling?

Would you expect the marketplace to figure this out ... only a reaction move, therefore quickly recover to current valuation after a week or so?
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Sep 3, 2010 9:04
My video why #Fed QE2 will lead to the same by BankofEnglandhttp://bit.ly/9VAefQ BoE-Fed Interest Rate Cycles

Ashraf
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Sep 1, 2010 21:32
eh accutrader
by next week we might go for 15250
accutrader
New Jersey, United States
Posts: 5
14 years ago
Sep 1, 2010 18:52
Is it a seasonal thing that whatever cable does in Sep-mid Nov, will likely start ot reverse in mid Nov to end of Dec.?

So, say hypothetically cable drops to 1.48 up to mid Nov, it would then rise further in the remainder of year?
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Sep 1, 2010 18:09
accutrader, these are tough questions..i can see a retest pf 1.48 between now and mid Q4 but hard to tell where it will be at year-end. Just take note that whatever GBP would do in Sep-mid Nov, will likely start ot reverse in mid Nov to end of Dec.


Ashraf
accutrader
New Jersey, United States
Posts: 5
14 years ago
Aug 31, 2010 13:26
Hi Ashraf - Where do you see the GBP/USD by year's end?
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