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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
forextrader
vologda, Russia
Posts: 127
13 years ago
Dec 30, 2010 0:09
@Dave

Do you know that your currency the British Pound was worth 516 Yen back when Margret Teacher was your prime minster around 1984.
And before the collapse of Northern Rock in 2007, one pound was worth 256 Yen, Today it worth 126.

i.e. from 1984 to 2010 it lost approximately 76% of it is value. Imagine if there was a Trader 26 years ago, went Long Cable at 516 yen. How much margin does he require to cove this drop? And more importantly how many years more he had to wait until the price get back to 516?
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 22:06
I dunno mate, I been trying to track DX alongside 10 yr yields and I concluded that ignoring gaps they pretty much are positively correlated most times. The moves on 60 min yields are very exagerrated in DX which is a continuous chart.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 21:51
but the riddle is the auction went unexpectedly well ... yields fell why then does USDx fall...
i expected it to fall because i assumed the auction wouldn't meet demand. But bid to cover was quite good, so something is very wrong here.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 21:49
DX pattern is suggesting we could visit 78.73 or 78.07 (DX #F). Could be wrong of course :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 21:43
Catnip, yes the dramtic fall today in DX almost equalled the dramatic rise yesterday. Both lacked structure. However the DX pattern prior to the 7yr auction had me on alert for an intra day fall of some degree. Sorry, I was referring to open positions I been running in gold, crude, audusd and gbpjpy basis daily timeframe.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 21:01
By all means ... no chart has shown the plunge of USDx in advance. The reason is way out of chart tealeaf reading. The reason is today's 7 year auction closed at 2.83% with almost no primary dealers involved. Thus what happens is an increased vola in bond prices and "irregular"
currency moves. No chart astrology will chart that any better than chance.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 20:33
Ignore, have you been a floor trader in your time ?

I find it a frustration not to be able to show decent charts in this forum, we could teach each other for sure. Chart capture links for viewing in adobe or whatever would be the answer. I would like to study your channels and in turn have stuff to show you or others.

Catnip, not much help explaining moves after the event, my charts showed me the direction on several instruments, no hedging to soak up profits. Get it right stay in, get it wrong get out, kiss is good.
Ignore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 18:47
ho ho gunz...its ok..the all inclsuives like hedonsim sandals grand lido and on and on..provide
great entertainment...tourists with a few local baracudas thrown in for da tension and hard parteeeeeeeee.

dan dada and locals stay private....all good..
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 18:42
USDx fell 50 pt in one hour when 5y 10 y yields dropped ... FED ?
No. That propelled EURUSD to 1327 and AUDUSD to 1018 and xauusd to 1413
don't know what happened. No neither EUR nor AUD got any stronger only USd weakened with CAD
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
Dec 29, 2010 18:25
@Ignore what u and da boyz in jamrock doin for NYE?