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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Jan 1, 2011 0:30
Comments: 1846
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This thread was started in response to the :

Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis

Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
 
Xaron
Munich, Germany
Posts: 528
15 years ago
Aug 28, 2009 7:06
Qin, I tend to agree. Actually I don't see any signs why the Dollar should show strengths. Actually this reminds me to the british pound which was a leading world currency as well decades ago. Look where it's now. This is no overnight process but I think the Dollar will continue to devalue, actually the US has no other choice than to let it devalue because the only alternative to finance the debts (and to attract enough foreign capital) would be double digit interest rates. And that's a no go currently.

I continue to buy the dips in the Euro and Aussie.

Tak sa mycket! :)
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 28, 2009 6:09
Forum,

Sweden has become history's first economy to introduce -ve interest rates (-0.25%). Interesting! Because the Scadanavians always go hand-in-hand, we can expect Norway and Denmark to follow soon. What implications would this have on the NOK?

Really...this is a decent strategy to force the banks to lend out the money they're keeping w/ the central bank..
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 28, 2009 3:40
speculator, There is no word which is logic from your comment.........
By the way, I have said many times, I encourage you to buy US bonds and keep it for years as you said it has bottomed......you should believe yourself that USD may start rally from here for years, it will be a very good investment for you........
will poho
Toronto, Canada
Posts: 20
15 years ago
Aug 28, 2009 2:52
Does anyone know what Ashraf means when he says "$USDCAD longs take a look at the Aug 12-13 action & what ensued next $$ I took a look and to me it means the USDCAD will bottom at the trend channel line.???
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 28, 2009 2:33
usd has completed its bottoming process for now and will only start to resume downturn once global unemployment starts to strongly fall and inflation kicks in. i dont see this happening to soon. the market has probably already priced in all the negatives about the us economy in the summer.

since there is little media talk about dollar replacement for now, the dollar will be supported. there are also few significant signs that foreigners are not supporting us debt. unemployment will continue to rise which should be dollar bullish or at worst supporte current levels.

however i am far more bearish for cable than general bullish for dollar.

Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 27, 2009 23:50
spec, would you like to answer my latest question about why you are so bullish on USD and think it has reached bottom and will bull back?

I believe all of us in this blog would like to hear your answer and excuse since you have been bullish on USD for 4 months, but USD always show its new lows......
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 27, 2009 23:20
speculator,
would you like to tell me which bank you are working in??

you think that people and all the central banks will ignore the constantly growing up US debts and everyone favorite on USD. Everyone want to lend money to USA, because they always can return the money by just printing........

Are you valuing the currency by technical analyst ??? just draw some lines and point out that there is a reverse, because it just has been devalued for so many years??

What makes you think that USD has already reached bottom and will bull back from here?
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 27, 2009 23:08
the dollar is not expensive u have to look at it that way. its super cheap against the pound. dont forget the dollar has been dropping for many years now and we have probably reached a multi year low already.

i am not from eastern europe but from london and work for a british bank
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 27, 2009 23:03
I would like to learn from your trading indeed....
Qin
Jonkoping, Sweden
Posts: 492
15 years ago
Aug 27, 2009 23:02
spec, please post your trading positions and entry point.......