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Displaying results for week of Jul 05, 2026

4 out of 4 Success Model

Jul 10, 2026 10:10 | by Ashraf Laidi

My model for predicting the World Cup winner with 4 out of 4 success so far.  Watch. 

4 out of 4 Success Model - Insta Cov Worldcup (Chart 1)
 

Gold & Rate Hike Update

Jul 6, 2026 18:48 | by Ashraf Laidi

Gold traders must keep an eye on bond market expectations for interest rate hikes. Yes rate hikes. The graphs below show rate hike probabilities for July (while) and September (green), with the latter currently 68% probability for a 25-bp rate hike. See how gold fell and DXY rose when the probability graphs rose. The weaker than expected US jobs report on Thursday triggered a temporary rally in gold and decline in rate hike probabilities, but markets are now repricing probabilities. DXY remains above the 100-week MA, while gold is unable to regain the 55-week MA. 

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Gold & Rate Hike Update - Wirp Rate Hike Jul (Chart 1)