Multi Year Equity Cycles
With both the Dow and S&P500 nearing their Nov lows, a breach of those levels is increasingly imminent. My forecasts suggest at least another 30-35% slide in the major indices into the next 6-8 months to be made possible by the next round of hedge fund (and mutual fund) redemptions. Recall that that 52% and 38% peak-to-trough declines in the S&P and Dow in the 2000-2 bear market emerged mainly due to overvalued stocks (and not on a banking or housing crisis). the likelihood for additional declines from the current 53% and 47% peak-to-trough declines is significant. integrating these analysis with my latest on Equity/Gold ratio, 5,300 Dow and 520 S&P500 looms large.
Jan 11, 2023 10:57 | by Ashraf LaidiIf the DAX40 maintains its habit of extending 13% above its 200 DMA, then current upside may extend to as high as 15300, just below the 76% retracement of the decline from the Jan 2022 high to...
Dec 6, 2022 14:34 | by Ashraf LaidiWe know the DXY is highly correlated with USD/CNH so if the Head-&-Shoulder on USD/CNH formation proves valid, then further USD downside lies ahead. ..
Nov 12, 2021 12:55 | by Ashraf Laidihttps://www.binance.com/en?ref=13288560...