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Results: 821 to 830 of 1,000
Results: 821 to 830 of 1,000
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Intraday Market Thought: Crucial GBP Week
by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 17, 2017 13:53Thursday's crucial EU summit over Brexit will determin the balance between EU's....Despite 3...0% CPI, GBP is the day's worst performer...Full analysis. -
Intraday Market Thought: BOC to Back Off, Big Day Ahead
by Adam Button | Oct 24, 2017 23:22
The 2nd half of the week is underway, featuring non-stop news including....On Tuesday, the euro was the top performer while the New Zealand dollar....Bad news on the tax reform plan and chatter of a Taylor nomination (see....Australian CPI, UK GDP and the BOC decision are up next...USD/CAD touched the highest since mid-August on Tuesday in a sign that the....USD/CAD broke the 100-day moving average and neared 1...27 as the +200 pip gain since Friday's soft retail sales reported extended...That data point is a big reason why few expect another hike from Poloz...However the market is pricing in a 18% chance of higher rates because of the....If the BOC decides to remain on the sidelines, signals about the December....The market is pricing in a 46% chance of a hike on Dec 6 and that rises to 72%....If the BOC moves to a clear neutral stance, expect a sharp rally in USD/CAD...The other side of that trade is also dangerous...US 10-year yields broke above 2...40% Tuesday in a move that Bill Gross said could signal the end of the....That helped to push USD/JPY briefly above 114...00...At the same time, politics remains a dominant theme...USD fell on talk that Trump's tax cut plan doesn't have enough votes....Competing with that was a report that John Taylor won an informal Senate....Aside from the BOC and Fed, look for big moves in the Australian and UK....At 0030 GMT, the Q3 Australian CPI report is due and expected to show a 0...8% q/q rise...The trimmed mean is forecast at +0...5% q/q and a miss there will be a market driver...At 0830 GMT, pound traders will be locked into the first look at UK Q3 GDP...The consensus is for a +0...3% reading and a miss in either direction will have major implications..
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Intraday Market Thought: Tax Reform is no 2005 for USD
by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 6, 2017 11:59Here is why last week's Tax reform bill from the US House Republicans is....nbsp; Full analysis. -
Intraday Market Thought: The Quiet Trade
by Adam Button | Nov 20, 2017 23:11
Everything else equal, what's the trade? That's the question we pose....The pound was the top performer while the euro lagged...The RBA meeting minutes are up next...A 2nd EUR trade was issued today with 3 charts & notes as part of the....تدقيق اليورو، الاسترليني و الذهب (فيديو للمشتركين للصفقات القادمة والمستقبلية)....German politics will likely remain the major headline-maker in a week with a....Merkel and her potential coalition partners have reached an impasse and are....The President is attempting to broker a deal and Merkel said she doesn't....Expect some twists and turns but none of the potential scenarios are likely to....Initially, EUR/USD slumped 70 pips on the headlines but it recovered...Later in the day, EURUSD sagged again but that was part of a broader climb in....And that brings us to the quiet trade...Risk assets have benefitted in nearly every environment over the past decade....That was the story on Monday and it's likely to be the same (especially in....That could help to underpin a minor rebound in the yen crosses and a creep....Expect higher volatility in Asia and Europe...The Aussie could be on the move when the RBA meeting minutes are released at....Commentary about wages and financial stability is key along with insights....Another event to watch is the 0430 GMT Japanese all industry activity index...It's forecast to fall 0...4% m/m.
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Intraday Market Thought: See you in London This Evening
by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 7, 2017 15:39Looking forward to seeing you at my seminar at GKFX's London heaquarters....nbsp; Register.. -
Intraday Market Thought: ECB Preview & Fed Review
by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 14, 2017 13:13
The main reasons to the US dollar's post-Fed decline and a look ahead of the....nbsp; Full article.
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Intraday Market Thought: Draghi & Poloz Spin it again
by Adam Button | Dec 15, 2017 10:50
ECB president Draghi and BoC governor Poloz showdd their usual rhetorcial....Yen pushes higher after the Tankan manufacturing survey hit 11-year high...USD is down cross the board after on fresh roadblocks to US tax reform, this....Up next is US industrial production and further chatter on the tax bills...Draghi left the ECB's forward guidance unchanged along with interest....The staff boosted growth up to 2...3% next year from 1...8% while bumping 2019 to 1...9% from 1...7%....In spite of that, inflation forecasts were only nudged up to 1...4% next year from 1...2% and unchanged at 1...5% in 2019...One of the major risks Draghi cited was the FX rate, keeping a lid on the....In the aftermath of the press conference, EURUSD remarkably slid to 1...1780 from 1...1850 in the face of rising sentiment and improving data...On the flipside is BOC Governor Stephen Poloz continued to confound markets...8 days after the CAD began a sharp descent following the central bank's....He also added that the 50-bp rate hikes of the last 6 months were not expected....USD/CAD fell by 1205 pips to 1...2850 only to rebound to 1...2800 around the US close...It is now trading at 1...2750, sending the USDCAD short of the Premium Insights back into the green...Markets are now pricing a 62% chance of a hike in March but we struggle to see....Also note that Canadian oil is now trading at a $28 discount to WTI in a..
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Intraday Market Thought: Canadian Climb
by Adam Button | Dec 22, 2017 12:17
Aside from the 20-30% decline in the price of cryptocurrencies, which may be....The Canadian dollar was the top performer Thursday while the Swiss franc....In a last minute decision, the Premium Insights issued a short on GBPUSD 15....The pair fell 100 pips as both figures overshot expectations...Recall that CAD (not USD) was the highest performing currency of 2016...Canada GDP and US PCE report are both due at 8:30 EST (13:30 GMT/London)....The CAD gains on Thursday came after a rise in the CPI and a sizzling retail....Prices rose 2...1% y/y compared to 2...0% expected and most core measures climbed...Retail sales rose 1...5% compared to 0...3% expected...Poloz on the weekend said that the note about 'caution' in the BOC....Oil prices are also nearing the best levels of the year...Additionally, China could help lift all commodity prices next year and on Friday....The problems for the Canadian dollar include the huge gap in Canadian oil,....The USD/CAD chart tells the story as the pair ranges between 1...2650 and 1...2915...A break on either side will be increasingly important...The risk is that it comes in low liquidity in the next week or so...In that case, it might be best to wait until the dust settles...It's a similar story in AUD/USD as it rose above the 200-day moving average....That's a greenlight but a whopping $3...5B in expirations at 0...7700 on Friday could pin it down and then it's into the year-end doldrums,....To close out the week, watch for the November US PCE report and Canadian GDP....In the US report, eye the personal spending metrics and for any signs of..
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Intraday Market Thought: Loonie's at it again
by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 8, 2018 14:39
The Canadian dollar (loonie) is on a roll thanks to another stellar jobs....Most of the country has been locked in a brutal cold spell but Friday's....Will 2018 prove another winner for CAD? Full analysis.
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Intraday Market Thought: Doves' Blood in Eurozone Water
by Adam Button | Jan 11, 2018 23:35
When the ECB drops a hint of tightening it's like a drop of blood in a shark....nbsp; NZD and EUR were the top performers while the US dollar lagged...Japanese current account data will close out the week...A 3rd EUR trade has been issued to the Premium Insights...صفقة جديدة أصدرت على اليورو للمشتركين مرفقة بتفسير بالعربي تحت المخطط و الرجاء....The ECB minutes offered a small hint about what's coming next, referring....2050 from 1...1940...In recent press conferences, Draghi has taken pains to keep the currency from....The market is extremely one-sided with net euro longs at the most extreme on....The stability got a hand from the continued struggles of the US dollar...An extremely strong 30-year bond auction Thursday weighed on the dollar along....Friday features the CPI and retail sales reports...Both will be critical for the US dollar and the Fed deciding what to do next...First, Japanese current account numbers will be released at 2305 GMT...Don't expect a significant market reaction...Instead, watch out for continued reports about bond buying, trade and Bitcoin..
