Posts by "catnip"

Yes China inflation is imo a much bigger threat then anticipated. Still around 700 to 800 million Chinese are very poor. The govt. risks social unrest and massive riots if prices rise and wages are low to extremely low. I think even without clear signals one should go short industry metals especially copper
and short AUD NZD and possibly CAD. If PBOC hikes expect indices to crash some 2 to 3 weeks later.
JPY long is not a bad idea,too. UST futures have not clearly reacted yet.

EUR is sold off again after repeated comment from Soros. Soros is correct the EU "safenet" pledge is utter nonsense. And very expensive, too. Greece needs to increase productivity and that can only be achieved by calling back outsourced workload from Eastern Europe and outsource workload to Greece. Greece is the first victim of outmost stupid Eurozone economy politics.

Anyone trades platinum palladium?

Simple answer: because market moves are "in the beginning" rational.

montmorency
yes it is a mathematical method developed by a Russian mathematician who is however US citizen for the past 15 years. I think he was the first to come up with an idea how to model all markets at once, as a system, in terms of systems theory. The mathematics is indeed very difficult but that is not a real problem as it has an algorithm that can be programmed. The big problem is that one needs all data which have to do with any form of money ( inclusive of debt) and with any form of decision how to move the money.
JPM and GS has access to these data but the average trader hasn't. So one has to cope with what is available and I chose the biggest markets in terms of money, the bonds i.e. sovereign and corporate.
I also need LIBOR and real inflation. So far it worked well I went short EUR and USD vs commodity currencies right in time with out any look at FX charts. I went short UST 10y price right in time and turned long and it was also right. I discovered trading sovereign bonds futures only recently even with a 100 leverage it is a safe bet.