The sudden rise in probabilities for Kevin Warsh to become as the next Fed chair from under 40% at around midnight London to 94% 1am London following a headline that Trump will announce his pick on Friday, as opposed to next week. Below is the chart of Polymarket odds for Warsh and other candidates against metals and DXY. Kevin Warsh, a former Fed board member during the Global Financial Crisis is known for his stance against inflation. In otherwords, he is perceived to be less dovish than Rieder, Waller or Hassett. I will publish a more detailed video today (Insta or Youtube) on why the market impact of next Fed Chair may not matter as many think.
Click To Enlarge
Latest Hot-Chart - Jan 22
EURGBP Channel Test
EURGBP is on the cusp of a channel breakout. One of the least well known secrets is how this pair correlates with major equity indices.
View Hot-Chart..
Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
Read Article..