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Posts by "catnip"

2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
2 Posts by member
catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 21:07
VIX down at July 2007 level SP/VIX 77.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 17:48
In Thread: EUR
US 10 y note price rises yield falls EUR long take care the big buy USD!
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 13:37
In Thread: EUR
EUR is doomed ( and USD GBP is not ) because EUR is not a currency it is a legal construct.
So far the self proclaimed currency experts from 16 Eu countries believe it is enough to show the money. No it isn't. They must show the cards, too. Large straight? No. Full house? No. Big blind? Yes.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 12:38
In Thread: EUR
@said
yes exactly so therefore I'll stay short EUR. EUR is doomed.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 12:07
In Thread: EUR
Short EUR/USD since 1.36
The story will end up in desaster.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 9:28
In Thread: EUR
So far its more of a game of poker...show me the money . Sorry I don't trust it. What would happen if the pledge is triggered and IMF goes sorry we are a bit cash-strapped, you know?
We see some political considerations and political inferences contrasted with financial measures.
Quite different kinds of decision making. It won't work.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 12, 2010 8:26
In Thread: EUR
I expected a more prolonged raise in Japan trade perhaps we'll see that today but so far it seems
the "surprise" move is well priced. Again and again: EUR is a construct based on treaties AND whatever
the EU pledge is called it is NOT supported by treaty. It is if triggered quantitative easing just that.
If it is triggered then expect political turmoil.
The only reasonable explanation of strength of GBP vs EUR is just that as any kind of bailout destabilizes the EUR core economies politically.
I have not seen a direct commitment of IMF so far.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 11, 2010 22:47
In Thread: EUR
I don't see any fundamental problems solved. As Japan is FX trading now spreads come down and EUR retreats a bit towards 1.36.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 11, 2010 22:43
In Thread: GBP
One could expect stock market rally for some days.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 11, 2010 22:11
In Thread: GBP
GPBUSD 1.546 ... the reason is USDx weakness USDx gets weaker vs all currencies in USDx basket.
It is however against value theory GBP should fall but actually ( illiquid markets now ) EUR/GBP almost unchanged