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Posts by "catnip"

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2150 Posts Total by "catnip":
2 Posts by member
catnip
(Frankfurt, Germany)
2148 Posts by Anonymous "catnip":
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catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 8, 2010 13:59
In Thread: USD
Markets never react irrational . The expectation of market response is irrational. Very irrational ( if very is appropriate ) is the assumption every market is closed system i.e. does not depend on all other markets. That is however the foundation of waves and chart analysis.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 8, 2010 12:16
In Thread: CHF
SNB reserves are about 80% EUR. The strength of CHF has only one reason: capital inflow from PIIGS
and Russia and possibly Dubai. ( Even Putin is - could be gossip- reported to change rubles to CHF he is a very rich person btw )
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 8, 2010 11:20
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Gold rumors are as speculative as gold futures. But if there is no physical gold backing all those ETFs and whatever that could be desastrous for the financial system. On the other side if we trust metal stocks LME shanghai and such by kitco there could be more copper, nickel and such than China Europe US could demand in a whole year for industry. Well I bought gold bullions and loonies already four years ago as one thing is for sure: don't trust paper money.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 8, 2010 6:54
In Thread: Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
Rumors spread no physical gold backs paper gold.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 21:33
In Thread: USD
If FED is serious on tightening by rollling mature UST off the balance sheet and redeeming and thus
removing excess liquidity from banks I assume with ᡴ% we have already seen the S&P top and the commodities top. If...
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 20:40
In Thread: GBP
Renata
no not a trading account just a ordinary business account. I have always been expecting EUr will be short lived. I will open a SEK account one of these days, too.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 20:11
In Thread: Gold & Silver's Dead Cat Bounce
My copper short is doing well.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 18:20
In Thread: GBP
It is around 66% probable EUR crash in May and 77% in June. However don't underestimate .
It will be Lehman+Bear sized. I have always wondered how a political currency could survive the first headwind. Consequently I have USD and NOK and DKK accounts ( not! CHF) . It is obvious now EUR will not survive a northern gust.
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 16:01
In Thread: USD
Ok THIS is the underly ...mea culpa
Name: 10 YEAR U.S. TREASURY NOTES (ZN) - CBOT (ELECTRONIC)/201006
Typ: Future
Chicago Board of Trade - Globex
USD
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 7, 2010 16:00
In Thread: USD
Formally correct but ..it doesn't match the price chart of the put option ... however I fail to attach the chart. Is the futures' price according to your "formula" valid for commodity futures as well?
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