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Posts by "daveo"

8683 Posts Total by "daveo":
8171 Posts by member
DaveO
(N.Cornwall, United Kingdom)
512 Posts by Anonymous "daveo":
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Aug 5, 2011 15:06
In Thread: EUR
Skipper, I been busy trading mostly non forex this week inbetween attending family on holiday here. Made good dosh in stock indices, gold, crude etc. Checking into forum twice a day to keep pace with posts but not much time to contribute.

I agree with Cygnus re deflationary and deleveraging environment will eventually hit us, meanwhile only seems like inflation :-( Also agree with his EU higher timeframe count unless 1.5143 is taken out. Failing that the move down from the Nov 09 high to the June 2010 low was an orderly 5 wave impulsive series whereas the move back up from the low has looked very corrective with overlapping wave sequence. The implications of this as you know would be for lower prices below 1.1875 at some future point in time. Always open to being proved wrong but the trading parameters are there on the map.

I need not repeat my fundamental opinions on the eurozone. Nuf said on that over the months in this forum :-)

I can certainly understand you trimming back entries this week ! EU has been a scalpers game.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Aug 5, 2011 1:52
In Thread: EUR
Many moons ago I suggested a seperate scalpers room to enable the various rooms (especially europhile room) to be condensed for easy look-back. Such ideas fall upon stony ground :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Aug 2, 2011 12:03
In Thread: USD
I don't suppose china will have much control now on their manufacturing slow down whatever they do, with so many nations effectively in recession demand can only weaken over the immediate years ahead. Monthly economic stats can be very misleading, the larger picture tells us more.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 29, 2011 15:36
Yeah and now look at gold, gunners out of the money already, picking a top prematurely and presumably his stop at high 1650's. Talk about vague parameters.

Awaiting some degree of reversal confirmation almost always pays off unless you have a mighty powerful cluster of several S&R's. Trend lines alone cannot be relied upon anymore than stochastics, MA's or lagging indicators. Even powerful clusters cannot be relied upon so we still need a degree of confirmation to enter against the trend with very tight initial stops. I seldom have wider than $10 initial stop for gold.

This especially applies with gold entering new territory making new all time highs where we have no volume history at these levels for long positions.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 28, 2011 17:11
Gunjack, don't start getting aggressive. Gold went nowhere near your lower perceived resistance at 1640, let alone your upper resistance of 1650's so what you talkin about man? $10 in gold is very signif tolerance, $20/$30 more so, might as well throw darts at your charts with thoses sorts of tolerances. If you are going to post what sound like claims for retrospective trade calls in gold and silver then I shall continue to feel free to ask you for answers to support your calls.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 27, 2011 22:04
real nice 8% trend day down today in SPX (ES) internals. Breadth never looked back and closed on lows not seen since May/June 2010. Will be looking for divergence in the days ahead.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 26, 2011 0:58
In Thread: EUR
I don't watch the dome, don't like too much micro detail. I integrate pattern recognision (EW if you like to gufaw yer heart out) with market profile, correlation charts, mkt internals for stocks, fibs, symmetry and volume bid/ask delta where applicable. I don't force anything, rather monitor my symbol portfolio for the specific trade set-ups I like.

I run an HP server for handling data streams and HP workstation with 8x22" rig. On the rig I have 6 workspaces. Trading, Treasuries, Sectors, Commodities, UK stocks, US stocks. I can switch workspaces within 5 secs but during my trading session I will largely remain in the Trading workspace which holds over 60 charts plus internals, quote window etc. Broker platforms are run on my communications screen and back-up laptop.

I don't scan as it would be virtually impossible to program the scan for what I am looking for. This means manual monitoring which I do at the start of my trading day and which takes typically 2 to 3 hrs. I then know what I need to focus upon for the upcoming session. During session I will be updating charts as an ongoing routine and managing any open trade positions.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 24, 2011 20:55
In Thread: EUR
Skipper, after all your tech postings on your trading models, am I the only guy who understands how your models work ? I suspect so and this is one of the things that irritates me about this forum. Guys are not really interested in furthering their tech experiences. more in wanting to know trade calls (which I personally refuse to submit to).

Jacek, I could prove myself by showing you my trading account history but frankly I don't need to prove myself to anyone, the last thing I want is a bunch of paracites, monkeys on my back.

Up to jan 2010 I spent 6 yrs "giving back". I mentored 2 batches of 5 intermediate level students for a 3 year course in my specific work, all free of charge. It was an enormous commitment and almost exhausted me. Out of the total 10 students I can only say that 3 or possibly 4 of them are now proficient traders making consistent returns. Trading is a very psychological challenge as you must well know and I am not about to renew any fresh commitments to this or any other forums. If my analysis is of no help to guys then so be it. I can always tell if a trader has any genuine interest, most just want to tag along a lazy path.

I have to admit that my stuff and my approach with analysing many symbols to find specific set-ups to trade on various timeframes is very time consuming and not for everyone. It would probably suit less than 1 in 100 traders. I am not about to try thrash it here. I have tried it already and there is zero interest, end of story. There was only one gentleman who ever asked any questions, that speaks for itself. The rest are more interested in making fun of everything and that's ok, I can cope with some fun. Banter is the name of the game here and I accept that.



DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 23, 2011 0:44
In Thread: EUR
jacek, I am a very social animal when all trades and analysis are under control and there is time for discussion, you miss my point.

Facebook and twitter etc are for kidos and self promotion, not busy serious traders far as I'm concerned. Why would I want to publish one simple comment on the social network and receive a barrage of mostly idiot replies in the middle of my trading sessions. There simply is not time for that. I appreciate the value of utube and I like to be in a trading forum if it has some purpose. I no longer feel that this forum has any useful purpose. Ashraf himself hardly ever makes any contribution these days. I have a very good RT audio news service which can be distraction enough whilst trading, much faster than anything else I have witnessed for the important up to the second alerts. I am mostly way ahead of the IMT's etc.

imho some human contact is a good thing for full time traders trading alone in their office but this needs must be kept constructive and economic on time.

DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jul 23, 2011 0:14
In Thread: EUR
Ashraf I know that but you give away tit bits and clues like your crude trade today. I had a month (6weeks) experience of what you were doing with premium service. In the last several months you have diverted to much shorter term trades and tighter parameters than ever you employed a year ago. In some cases one extreme to the other from what I can gather but doubtless a sensible strategy for signal service as any losses need to be kept tight. A year ago your trade ideas were based mainly upon your perception of the fundamentals and to hell with tight stops. several hundred pip drawdowns were of no apparent consequence. This is how I say you have changed.

I don't agree "tweets & Premium trades can be the basis for criticism/comments/suggestions on this forum"

can be discussed on this public forum as it would not be fair for your subscribers to publish the signal trades publicly. Indeed I am not aware of any premium subscriber breaching confidentiality.