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Posts by "daveo"

8683 Posts Total by "daveo":
8171 Posts by member
DaveO
(N.Cornwall, United Kingdom)
512 Posts by Anonymous "daveo":
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 13:11
In Thread: EUR
Catnip, if its any consolation 66% of NYSE volume is now pure bullshit volume. Useless high frequency algorithm trading by the 4 largest trading houses who were awarded special priviliges with their servers at the exchanges and a commission deal on spreads whereby they buy and sell at no spread and earn a commission in the name of providing liquidity, haha. This generates enormous meaningless volume and you could say that Goldman Sachs controlls the NYSE. So it is not only currencies which are manipulated. Most markets are manipulated in one way or another these days and many traders feel that GS and the like are sponsored by the fed. This may be changing with the various new regulations, I don't know that I am up to date.

I would be interested to hear about swarm intelligence when you are confident it has some value. Gold is another market with very large players messin around :-) I doubt there are any "clean" markets but human nature dictates price action and all players are human inc CB's. Difficult to imagine I know :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 12:31
In Thread: EUR
Catnip, of course its possible, anything is possible with trading. I daresay your own stuff catches you wrong footed sometimes but I like that you are trading using what I call "internals". Most conventional indicators simply lag price and only reflect what price has already done. Any experienced chartist can read price without having to look at indicators but indicators provide a clearer perspective of what price has done for those who are not yet fully tuned in. S & R's play sometimes and sometimes not and there are many ways of projecting them besides channels etc.

I use internals for trading stock indices. Breadth, volume, vix, trin, tick, market profile and bid/ask delta can provide valuable information but forex is more difficult since there is no central exchange for volume data. Correlations are important and can sometimes provide a leading indicator I have noticed. I shan't mention EWA which can be a leading map because it is so contraversial in this particular forum and not easily discussed in a static forum. Market profile also provides a useful map based upon volume over time behaviour.

There are many perfectly legitimate and different ways of trading. You should be more respectful in this context. I am not about to divert into your specific methods and I don't expect you to divert into my methods. The only thing that really matters is we each make good money from our methods and the time we devoted to this endeavour.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 10, 2010 13:51
In Thread: GBP
There are so many risks globally who would want to be in King's position and quite rightly he refuses to predict. All they can do is to react on a month by month basis. At least Mervyn King is refreshingly honest but there are some things he simply cannot say for fear of undermining the UK tenuous position.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 10, 2010 0:36
In Thread: CHF
Ignore, I hear so often that forex markets are different to other markets. They are not. From a tech perspective Forex is the same as any other market and I have traded most of them over the years. Hard stops should be placed in the market at a logical point at which a trade idea is violated.

If traders get into the habit of moving their stops away from approaching price they will never make good traders, period. This is definitely not to be encouraged for novice or inexperienced traders as sooner or later their account will get wiped clean. Ashraf dances around the floor with fundamentals and he can trade how he likes and take full responsibility for his own trading, if indeed he does trade. Making calls for others to follow is a different matter which carries some responsibilty. There will be times when Ashraf, however competent, will make some bum calls. Good trading is directly related to good trade management.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Nov 8, 2010 18:29
In Thread: CHF
Ashraf, I didn't take your usdchf long call but I tracked it with your various levels marked on my chart. I planned a buy order at 9828 which didnt materialise.

Your stop was at 9550 and the market took that out by a few pips at least depending upon spread.

Now you want to ignore your stop plus claim success on hedgers you added. This is not cricket Ashraf, if you are going to make specific calls play it fair please. Or if you are foolish enough to move stops away from the market you should make that very clear, not a sound trading policy imo.

This is nothing to do with "babysitting the forum" or babysitting your trade calls, its more to do with seeming to play fair. Either way I don't give a damn about myself, just thinking of less experienced traders.

David.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 19:25
In Thread: GBP
Chloe,

The uk is effectively bankrupt just like the US, perhaps not quite such a basket case but we have the advantage of not being in the euro currency. The Euro zone is also efffectively bankrupt with germany being the only example of good housekeeping but can germany bail out all of euroland. I doubt it.

Its just a matter of time before we need our gun licenses for protection of ourselves and our families. Anarchy will be with us at some point in time which I cannot predict accurately.

Everything else is academic with the politicians and CB's delaying the inevitable for as long as they can.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 16:59
In Thread: GBP
Catnip, we discussed the euro index E #F and agreed it is weaker than eurusd as it has yet to reach its 50% ret of the move down from 09 highs whereas the EU is approaching its 78.6% ret, albeit the DX is leading the charge by a margin.

I don't know how accurate you expect these correlations to play. Suffice to say the EU strength is all about DX weakness for which Mr Bernanke has been 100% in control. Talk about wanting to devalue the usd in the face of purporting to support a strong dollar, hahaha. All chickens will come home to roost in the fullness of time. What can't happen will not happen.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 14:25
In Thread: USD
Reps did not quite win the upper house = fed still in power. Bernanke quantified months of procrastination without having to dilute QE2. Hardly surprising DX continues down.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 13:59
In Thread: GBP
Sub, re your EU comments I have a significant potential resistance level at 1.4416 which is 61.8% fib on monthly chart. Then slightly beyond that a preffered 127.2% level coinciding with 78.6% ret on daily chart at 1.4450ish. I aint looking beyond those levels until we get there but at the very least would expect a significant correction
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Oct 26, 2010 0:10
In Thread: EUR
Ashraf, you misunderstood my post, probably my fault for not being clear.

I did not say you should be telling us when to get in and when to get out and even if you did that it would not override my own analysis and methodology. You work extremely hard imo but the forum is a mess with traders posting their trade calls and opinions without providing any substance or even referring to the timeframe they trade. I also have trouble understanding some of your one liners on twitter with regard to the timeframe you have in mind so to me twitter is also a "mess".

I feel the forum needs some guidlines to help dissipate some of the bickering wiith traders obviously misunderstanding a lack of information provided by those who like to make their calls. Sometimes I see a trader talking about what appears to be a very short timeframe with another trader responding by looking at a multi week or multi month timeframe. No wonder we have so much bickering in here.

If someone posts their opinion of S&R for example they should support that with relevant information on how they derive just as you will mention your MA's or stochs or whatever. I can think of many other examples where posts are not connecting the dots.

Since you do not have the time to moderate the forum the least you could do is to establish a code to encourage traders to provide suffcient information to accompany their calls. Otherwise better they do not post any analysis, opinions or trades.