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Posts by "daveo"

8683 Posts Total by "daveo":
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DaveO
(N.Cornwall, United Kingdom)
512 Posts by Anonymous "daveo":
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 17:07
In Thread: EUR
Yes it is very complicated. Ashraf seems to live and breathe the correlations night and day 24/7. I don't know when he sleeps but I can imagine it would be easy to lose the focus and the feel for all the interconnections. I do know one thing, the large majority of fundamental analysts are a complete waste of space and nothing but a pest to inexperienced would-be traders.

I understand that the algo geeks employed at GS are paid more than their traders. Teams of geeks is what their trading is all about so I can believe what you say.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 16:21
In Thread: EUR
I agree all markets are one market, they are all inter connected & correlated. I suspect Ashraf comes as close as we can to what you seek. Fundamentals aside, each market can be very successfully traded using only technicals but like evrything else the necessary skills are required. Combine the two approaches and you are far more likely to develop a consistenly winning methodology employing expert trade management. Quite frankly it would take me years to be able to trade fundamentals alone, quicker and easier to follow Ashraf and integrate his work with my own. This year I have learnt a lot about correlations which now play a part in my technical trading.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 15:12
In Thread: EUR
eurgbp daily timeframe. Bust through potential symmetry support today @8528. Next possible reaction level at 127.2% ext @ 8450 but Ashraf very bearish on this one so typical supports may not play.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 14:04
In Thread: GBP
gbpusd broke the 60 min trend resistance line and reversed from my symmetry target posted below at 1.6167. Nice tradeable reaction for intra day 70 pip move down to test the resistance trend line now become potential support.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 13:11
In Thread: EUR
Catnip, if its any consolation 66% of NYSE volume is now pure bullshit volume. Useless high frequency algorithm trading by the 4 largest trading houses who were awarded special priviliges with their servers at the exchanges and a commission deal on spreads whereby they buy and sell at no spread and earn a commission in the name of providing liquidity, haha. This generates enormous meaningless volume and you could say that Goldman Sachs controlls the NYSE. So it is not only currencies which are manipulated. Most markets are manipulated in one way or another these days and many traders feel that GS and the like are sponsored by the fed. This may be changing with the various new regulations, I don't know that I am up to date.

I would be interested to hear about swarm intelligence when you are confident it has some value. Gold is another market with very large players messin around :-) I doubt there are any "clean" markets but human nature dictates price action and all players are human inc CB's. Difficult to imagine I know :-)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 11, 2010 12:31
In Thread: EUR
Catnip, of course its possible, anything is possible with trading. I daresay your own stuff catches you wrong footed sometimes but I like that you are trading using what I call "internals". Most conventional indicators simply lag price and only reflect what price has already done. Any experienced chartist can read price without having to look at indicators but indicators provide a clearer perspective of what price has done for those who are not yet fully tuned in. S & R's play sometimes and sometimes not and there are many ways of projecting them besides channels etc.

I use internals for trading stock indices. Breadth, volume, vix, trin, tick, market profile and bid/ask delta can provide valuable information but forex is more difficult since there is no central exchange for volume data. Correlations are important and can sometimes provide a leading indicator I have noticed. I shan't mention EWA which can be a leading map because it is so contraversial in this particular forum and not easily discussed in a static forum. Market profile also provides a useful map based upon volume over time behaviour.

There are many perfectly legitimate and different ways of trading. You should be more respectful in this context. I am not about to divert into your specific methods and I don't expect you to divert into my methods. The only thing that really matters is we each make good money from our methods and the time we devoted to this endeavour.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 10, 2010 19:52
In Thread: EUR
I guess some use keltner channels also ? Or bollinger bands?
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 10, 2010 19:01
In Thread: CHF
Agree Gunjack. Wouldn't be human without some bummers :-) Ashraf way ahead of most commentators not to mention the carnival barkers :-)
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 10, 2010 18:58
Yes Gunjack, I run an overlay chart for some of the correlations and the relationships can and do go off course sometimes intra day and then something has to give and they all come back into line again. Inventories a good example of messing my chart :-)
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 10, 2010 18:26
In Thread: GBP
gbpusd now testing trend line resistance on 60 min chart which coincides with the 50% ret level of the move down from 6298 high at 6125. A break will meet potential symmetry resistance at 1.6177 just above the 61.8% ret at 6166