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Posts by "daveo"

8683 Posts Total by "daveo":
8171 Posts by member
DaveO
(N.Cornwall, United Kingdom)
512 Posts by Anonymous "daveo":
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 5, 2010 18:36
In Thread: EUR
I see Subway in full flow today and well done mate catching the top yesterday !

Puzzo, you need to progress out of your tunnels. Not being rude but there is a lot more to this than your tunnels.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 19:25
In Thread: GBP
Chloe,

The uk is effectively bankrupt just like the US, perhaps not quite such a basket case but we have the advantage of not being in the euro currency. The Euro zone is also efffectively bankrupt with germany being the only example of good housekeeping but can germany bail out all of euroland. I doubt it.

Its just a matter of time before we need our gun licenses for protection of ourselves and our families. Anarchy will be with us at some point in time which I cannot predict accurately.

Everything else is academic with the politicians and CB's delaying the inevitable for as long as they can.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 16:59
In Thread: GBP
Catnip, we discussed the euro index E #F and agreed it is weaker than eurusd as it has yet to reach its 50% ret of the move down from 09 highs whereas the EU is approaching its 78.6% ret, albeit the DX is leading the charge by a margin.

I don't know how accurate you expect these correlations to play. Suffice to say the EU strength is all about DX weakness for which Mr Bernanke has been 100% in control. Talk about wanting to devalue the usd in the face of purporting to support a strong dollar, hahaha. All chickens will come home to roost in the fullness of time. What can't happen will not happen.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 15:26
In Thread: GBP
Not sure I follow you Catnip as the two are almost exactly reverse correlated.

March 09 high in DX = March 09 slighly higher low in EU
Dec 09 low in DX = Dec 09 high in EU
June 10 slightly lower high in DX = June 10 lower low in EU
Current higher low in DX = Current lower high in EU although DX has well violated its 78.6% ret whereas EU might have some catching up to do.

I have a symmetry target on the DX #F at 74.70 which is slightly shy of the Dec 09 low at 74.27. Watch that # Catnip :-) Its already below Ashraf's longer term trend support line
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 15:05
Note VIX has cratered today = bullish for stocks = bullish for CL
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 14:44
In Thread: CHF
I see Ashraf entering his personal wave 4 after a very nice run in his wave 3 up.

If you followed his usdchf call you should have known when exactly to enter the long trade and more importantly at what level the trade was proven invalidated. Ashraf's suggested stop at 9550 represented an extremely wide stop loss level unless you chose to play very small size. The market is now approaching the 9550 level with high probability of taking out.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 14:25
In Thread: USD
Reps did not quite win the upper house = fed still in power. Bernanke quantified months of procrastination without having to dilute QE2. Hardly surprising DX continues down.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 13:59
In Thread: GBP
Sub, re your EU comments I have a significant potential resistance level at 1.4416 which is 61.8% fib on monthly chart. Then slightly beyond that a preffered 127.2% level coinciding with 78.6% ret on daily chart at 1.4450ish. I aint looking beyond those levels until we get there but at the very least would expect a significant correction
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 13:05
In Thread: GBP
I expect he bin hiding from all the fundamental crap :-) Very interesting yes but not much help for trading.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
14 years ago
Nov 4, 2010 10:48
Just like Greenspan tenure over many years Bernanke will also do anything to avoid a proper correction. Those guys simply hate any idea of honesty, just keep kicking the can down the road is their strategy. The lesson I have learnt is never to fade the market, never hold your breath for a deep correction, never expect markets to be rational. Read the charts and go with the flow however irrational that may seem. What in hell has "common sense" got to do with it all ?!!!